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Week Ahead Preview 26th of September

Mahmoud Alkudsi Mahmoud Alkudsi 26/09/2022
Week Ahead Preview 26th of September Week Ahead Preview 26th of September
Week Ahead Preview 26th of September Mahmoud Alkudsi
Week Ahead Preview 26th of September
 
The economic calendar is fairly busy this week as investors will tune in to multiple speeches from the FOMC members, to try to find out when they may consider slowing down or changing the current monetary policy. Central banks have been fighting aggressively high inflation numbers via hiking interest rates. Last week, the Fed hiked interest rates by 75 bp and signalled that more hikes were yet to come, the SNB followed the Fed’s steps while the bank of England hiked by 50bp only.
 
The Russian-Ukrainian war updates also dominated the scene last week, as Russia’s called for a “partial” mobilization and hinted at the possible use of nuclear weapons weighing on the market’s risk appetite and driving investors to the safety of the US Dollar as a result, risk currencies such as the British Pound hit a multi-decade low against the US Dollar, while major US indices lost between 4%-7% of their value. Commodities like Gold retreated to a near two-and-a-half low, and oil (WTI) broke below the $80pb threshold on increased fears of lower demand due to expectations of a global recession.

Economic data highlights

Monday 26th of September
  • EUR - Ifo Business Climate (Germany - SEP)
  • USD - Chicago Fed National Activity Index (AUG)
  • Fed Mester Speech
Tuesday 27th of September
  • Fed Chair Powell Speech
  • USD- Durable Goods Orders (AUG)
  • USD- CB Consumer Confidence (SEP)
  • USD- House Price Index (JUL)
  • ECB President Lagarde Speech
  • Fed Bullard Speech
 
Wednesday 28th of September
  • AUD- Retail Sales (AUG)
  • EUR- GfK Consumer Confidence (Germany -OCT)
  • Fed Chair Powell Speech
  • ECB President Lagarde Speech
  • Fed Bullard Speech
  • Fed Bostic Speech
  • Fed Evans Speech
Thursday 29th of September
  • NZD- Business Confidence (SEP)
  • EUR- Consumer Confidence Final (SEP)
  • EUR-Inflation Rate (Germany-SEP)
  • GDP Growth Rate (Q2)
  • PCE Prices (Q2)
  • Fed Lane Speech 
  • Fed Mester Speech 
Friday 30thof September
  • Fed Daly Speech
  • JPY- Unemployment Rate (AUG)
  • JPY- Retail Sales (AUG)
  • CNY- Manufacturing & non-Manufacturing PMI (SEP)
  • EUR- Retail Sales (Germany-AUG)
  • GBP- GDP Growth Rate (Q2)
  • CHF- Retail Sales (AUG)
  • EUR- Unemployment Rate (Germany-SEP)
  • EUR- Core Inflation Rate Flash (SEP)
  • USD- PCE Price Index (AUG)
  • Fed Brainard Speech
  • Fed Williams
  • USD- Michigan Consumer Sentiment Final (SEP)
 
Inflation and Monetary Policy  
 
The Eurozone’s core inflation rate is expected to accelerate from 4.3% to 4.7%. A higher-than-expected read could lead the ECB to maintain its current policy. The central bank hiked interest rates two weeks ago by 75bp up to 1.25% and due to overshooting inflation levels markets expect that the European interest rate could hit 3% by Q2-23.  
 
This week president Lagarde is scheduled to speak more than once. The head of the central bank is expected to stay coherent with her previous statements about the ECB commitment to keep fighting high inflation levels and bringing them down to the 2% target.
 
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices or other information contained on this website is provided as general market commentary and does not constitute investment advice. ThinkMarkets will not accept liability for any loss or damage including, without limitation, to any loss of profit which may arise directly or indirectly from use of or reliance on such information.

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Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices or other information contained on this website is provided as general market commentary and does not constitute investment advice. ThinkMarkets will not accept liability for any loss or damage including, without limitation, to any loss of profit which may arise directly or indirectly from use of or reliance on such information.
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