SHARES: The final nail in Uber's coffin

*The biggest challenge for Uber is driver salaries & competitive fares 
*New Californian Bill highly like to impact Uber and its competitors 
*Only innovative instincts can save the day for Uber 


The relationship

For companies like Uber and Lyft, the key to success is to have a large number of low-cost independent contractors on their platform and keep the innovation arm active. This simply gives them the flexibility to employ people when they need to without thinking of sick pays, holiday pays, insurance and several other benefits (cost for firms) that a normal employee gets.


From the employee’s perspective, they are happy to join these employers because they do not have a full-time commitment and they can choose the time and hours they want to work.


I believe this system is fair for both parties because an employer knows where they stand in terms of their cost and an employee can earn as much as they want by putting in the hours while maintaining flexibility. Be your own boss.


Threats to the ride-sharing industry

However, all of this could be changing fast if the Californian Senate passes a bill which would force companies like Uber and Lyft to start treating their independent contractors as full-time employees.


The bill, if passed, would only enhance the nightmare Uber is currently facing: a battle with drivers’ pay and maintaining competitive fare charges. The company is paying almost a minimum wage to its drivers over in the United States, despite charging a handsome share of the driver’s labour. The company’s commission range from 20-25% depending on which jurisdiction you are looking at. Yet, its losses are colossal. It reported a loss of $5 billion last year.


The trickle down effect of the Californian Bill

Any further increase in Uber's cost in terms of drivers’ payment is going to hurt the company most. The fact is that if the bill is passed in California, there are always chances that it may have a trickle-down effect not just throughout the U.S., but also in other countries. After all, the U.S. is mostly the benchmark for other countries when it comes to regulation.


Uber not the only one to face the consequences

It is important to emphasize that if the bill is passed, it isn’t only going to target Uber but also its competitors such as Lyft, as well as other industries which are using their platforms to employ contractors in order to lower the cost for the end-user.


Consumers are likely to be a victim 

Mostly, companies come up with innovative strategies to cut the cost for consumers, like how Uber created jobs for those who were seeking flexible employment and also created a market for ride-sharing (although the concept wasn’t that unique as I used ride-sharing in Beirut, Lebanon, well before Uber came into being).


Nonetheless, if the bill sees daylight, it will have a trickle-down effect. I believe the cost of sharing rides is going to increase meaningfully.


Hard push for innovation 

Technology is the ultimate solution to cut labour costs. We have witnessed this from the agriculture to industrial age and now on the verge of a new age: Artificial Intelligence and robots.


Yes, I am talking about going from riding a horse to driving a car to driverless cars. There is no doubt that Uber has been far more active in this space than its competitors. It raised more than $1 billion from Japan with the likes of Toyota, Softbank and auto-parts maker Denso. The self-driving unit known as Autonomous Technology Group, with Uber maintaining majority control, is valued at $7.25 billion. This is the big bazooka.


The Bottom Line 

To conclude, I do not believe Uber is in massive trouble from a long-term perspective. Its innovative instincts are going to keep it ahead of its competitor. The company is desperate to create driverless cars and it is only a matter of time before we see them becoming a reality.


In the short term, it needs to give a fair share to its drivers for their work by keeping a close eye on its competitor. This would aid the company to bring new drivers on its platform. Also, a competitive fare would attract a larger pool of riders.