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Week Ahead Preview 12th of September

Mahmoud Alkudsi Mahmoud Alkudsi 12/09/2022
Week Ahead Preview 12th of September Week Ahead Preview 12th of September
Week Ahead Preview 12th of September Mahmoud Alkudsi
Markets expect key data releases this week including the bank of England’s rate decision and inflation figures in the US. Investors will keep an eye on the US CPI figures for August despite their belief that the Fed is likely to hike interest rates by 75 bp in September’s meeting.
 
The hawkish Fed members’ tone led the US Dollar index to hit a near 20-year high last week, while the oil price slipped to a near eight-month low on concerns of lower demand due to recent lockdowns in Chinese cities to stop the Coronavirus spread. However, the price rebounded higher after Russia threatened to halt oil and gas exports as the EU considered a price cap on Russian oil and gas.

Economic data highlights

Monday 12th of September
  • GBP - GDP (JUL)
  • GBP - Manufacturing Production (JUL)
Tuesday 13th of September
  • AUD - Consumer Confidence Index (SEP)
  • EUR - Inflation Rate Final (Germany- AUG)
  • GBP - Unemployment Rate (JUL)
  • EUR- ZEW Economic Sentiment Index (SEP)
  • USD- Inflation Rate (AUG)
Wednesday 14th of September
  • GBP - Inflation Rate (AUG)
  • EUR - Industrial Production (JUL)
  • USD - PPI (AUG)
Thursday 15th of September
  • NZD - GDP Growth Rate (Q2)
  • AUD- Unemployment Rate (AUG)
  • BoE Interest Rate Decision
  • USD- Retail Sales (AUG)
  • USD- Industrial Production (AUG)
Friday 16th of September
  • CNY- House Price Index (AUG)
  • CNY- Industrial Production (AUG)
  • CNY- Retail Sales (AUG)
  • GBP - Retail Sales (AUG)
  • EUR- Core Inflation Rate Final (AUG)
  • CAD- Unemployment Rate (AUG)
  • USD Michigan Consumer Sentiment (SEP)
 
Bank of England’s Meeting
 
The Bank of England’s meeting will still take place on Thursday despite Queen Elizabeth II’s mourning. The double-digit inflation figure of July at 10.1% increases the pressure on the central bank to continue its contractionary monetary policy.
 
The MPC members could hike interest rates by 50 bp, even though some members could vote for a 75 bp given the British Pound price decline against the US dollar and due to other central banks’ aggressive policies like the EBC which hiked interest rates by 75 bp last week, while the Fed is expected to hike interest rates by 75 bp for the third time in a row on the 21st of September.
 
Inflation Data
 
Markets expect the US inflation headline to fall from 8.5% (Jul) to 8.1%(Aug) thanks to the fall in oil prices. The WTI declined by nearly 9% in August from $98.38 to $89.50.
That said, it is highly likely to see the Fed hiking by 75 bp in its September meeting given the hawkish tone of the FOMC members in every speech they gave on one hand and the August jobs report that revealed a robust growth in the US job market on the other.
 
Any lower-than-expected CPI numbers in August combined with the weaker wage pressure revealed by the August job report could lead the Fed to slow down its hike pace to 50 bp in November and possibly 25bp in December.
 
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices or other information contained on this website is provided as general market commentary and does not constitute investment advice. ThinkMarkets will not accept liability for any loss or damage including, without limitation, to any loss of profit which may arise directly or indirectly from use of or reliance on such information.

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Meet our contributors
Carl Capolingua
×
Carl Capolingua
Market Analyst, Melbourne

Carl has over 20 years' experience in financial markets and has held senior analyst roles at a number of financial institutions. Specialising in Australian and US stock markets in particular, Carl uses a top-down approach to assess the global macro picture before using both technical and fundamental techniques to select stocks. He regularly appears as an expert commentator on a number of media outlets throughout the Asia-Pacific region.
 
 
 

Lesego
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Lesego Mthombothi
Market Research Analyst, South Africa

Lesego Mthombothi is an experienced market research analyst and investment professional who proudly holds an honours degree in investment management and completed her CFA level 1.
 
 
 

Mahmoud Alkudsi
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Mahmoud Alkudsi
Chief Markets Analyst, MENA

Mahmoud is a market analyst, with over a decade of experience in financial markets. He follows main market movers and tracks their effect on the price chart. Mahmoud mixes technical and fundamental tools with a deeper focus on the technical side, and with his wide experience in providing educational and guidance materials to all levels of traders, he helps them in making informed trading decisions. Before joining ThinkMarkets, Mahmoud was head of market research departments in different reputed financial companies, where he provided market analysis for a variety of asset classes, including FX, equities, indices, and commodity futures. As an experienced market commentator, he was hosted by too many print and broadcast media, including not limited to Sky News Arabia, France 24, Alarabyia, Alsharq-Bloomberg, and CNBC Alarabyia to discuss key risk events their clear impact on the price action. Mahmoud holds a Master of Business Administration (MBA) from Cardiff Metropolitan University of Wales, UK, and speaks Arabic, English, and Spanish.

Shawn
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Shawn Lee
Market Analyst, Malaysia

Shawn Lee has over eight years of experience in the financial market as a market analyst. Shawn provides market key insights and trade ideas through the market and technical analysis. He also held trader roles and guided traders in maximising one’s trading success.

Carl Capolingua
Carl Capolingua
Carl has over 20 years' experience in financial markets and has held senior analyst roles at a number of financial institutions.
Lesego
Lesego Mthombothi
Lesego Mthombothi is an experienced market research analyst and investment professional who proudly holds an honours degree in investment management and completed her CFA level 1.
Mahmoud Alkudsi
Mahmoud Alkudsi
Mahmoud is a market analyst with over a decade of experience in financial markets. Mahmoud mixes technical and fundamental tools with a deeper focus on the technical side, and has experience in providing guidance to all levels of traders.
Shawn
Shawn Lee
Shawn Lee has over eight years of experience in the financial market as a market analyst. Shawn provides market key insights and trade ideas through the market and technical analysis. He also held trader roles and guided traders in maximising one’s trading success.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices or other information contained on this website is provided as general market commentary and does not constitute investment advice. ThinkMarkets will not accept liability for any loss or damage including, without limitation, to any loss of profit which may arise directly or indirectly from use of or reliance on such information.
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