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Week Ahead Preview 26th of September

Mahmoud Alkudsi Mahmoud Alkudsi 26/09/2022
Week Ahead Preview 26th of September Week Ahead Preview 26th of September
Week Ahead Preview 26th of September Mahmoud Alkudsi
Week Ahead Preview 26th of September
 
The economic calendar is fairly busy this week as investors will tune in to multiple speeches from the FOMC members, to try to find out when they may consider slowing down or changing the current monetary policy. Central banks have been fighting aggressively high inflation numbers via hiking interest rates. Last week, the Fed hiked interest rates by 75 bp and signalled that more hikes were yet to come, the SNB followed the Fed’s steps while the bank of England hiked by 50bp only.
 
The Russian-Ukrainian war updates also dominated the scene last week, as Russia’s called for a “partial” mobilization and hinted at the possible use of nuclear weapons weighing on the market’s risk appetite and driving investors to the safety of the US Dollar as a result, risk currencies such as the British Pound hit a multi-decade low against the US Dollar, while major US indices lost between 4%-7% of their value. Commodities like Gold retreated to a near two-and-a-half low, and oil (WTI) broke below the $80pb threshold on increased fears of lower demand due to expectations of a global recession.

Economic data highlights

Monday 26th of September
  • EUR - Ifo Business Climate (Germany - SEP)
  • USD - Chicago Fed National Activity Index (AUG)
  • Fed Mester Speech
Tuesday 27th of September
  • Fed Chair Powell Speech
  • USD- Durable Goods Orders (AUG)
  • USD- CB Consumer Confidence (SEP)
  • USD- House Price Index (JUL)
  • ECB President Lagarde Speech
  • Fed Bullard Speech
 
Wednesday 28th of September
  • AUD- Retail Sales (AUG)
  • EUR- GfK Consumer Confidence (Germany -OCT)
  • Fed Chair Powell Speech
  • ECB President Lagarde Speech
  • Fed Bullard Speech
  • Fed Bostic Speech
  • Fed Evans Speech
Thursday 29th of September
  • NZD- Business Confidence (SEP)
  • EUR- Consumer Confidence Final (SEP)
  • EUR-Inflation Rate (Germany-SEP)
  • GDP Growth Rate (Q2)
  • PCE Prices (Q2)
  • Fed Lane Speech 
  • Fed Mester Speech 
Friday 30thof September
  • Fed Daly Speech
  • JPY- Unemployment Rate (AUG)
  • JPY- Retail Sales (AUG)
  • CNY- Manufacturing & non-Manufacturing PMI (SEP)
  • EUR- Retail Sales (Germany-AUG)
  • GBP- GDP Growth Rate (Q2)
  • CHF- Retail Sales (AUG)
  • EUR- Unemployment Rate (Germany-SEP)
  • EUR- Core Inflation Rate Flash (SEP)
  • USD- PCE Price Index (AUG)
  • Fed Brainard Speech
  • Fed Williams
  • USD- Michigan Consumer Sentiment Final (SEP)
 
Inflation and Monetary Policy  
 
The Eurozone’s core inflation rate is expected to accelerate from 4.3% to 4.7%. A higher-than-expected read could lead the ECB to maintain its current policy. The central bank hiked interest rates two weeks ago by 75bp up to 1.25% and due to overshooting inflation levels markets expect that the European interest rate could hit 3% by Q2-23.  
 
This week president Lagarde is scheduled to speak more than once. The head of the central bank is expected to stay coherent with her previous statements about the ECB commitment to keep fighting high inflation levels and bringing them down to the 2% target.
 
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices or other information contained on this website is provided as general market commentary and does not constitute investment advice. ThinkMarkets will not accept liability for any loss or damage including, without limitation, to any loss of profit which may arise directly or indirectly from use of or reliance on such information.

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Meet our contributors
Carl Capolingua
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Carl Capolingua
Market Analyst, Melbourne

Carl has over 20 years' experience in financial markets and has held senior analyst roles at a number of financial institutions. Specialising in Australian and US stock markets in particular, Carl uses a top-down approach to assess the global macro picture before using both technical and fundamental techniques to select stocks. He regularly appears as an expert commentator on a number of media outlets throughout the Asia-Pacific region.
 
 
 

Lesego
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Lesego Mthombothi
Market Research Analyst, South Africa

Lesego Mthombothi is an experienced market research analyst and investment professional who proudly holds an honours degree in investment management and completed her CFA level 1.
 
 
 

Mahmoud Alkudsi
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Mahmoud Alkudsi
Chief Markets Analyst, MENA

Mahmoud is a market analyst, with over a decade of experience in financial markets. He follows main market movers and tracks their effect on the price chart. Mahmoud mixes technical and fundamental tools with a deeper focus on the technical side, and with his wide experience in providing educational and guidance materials to all levels of traders, he helps them in making informed trading decisions. Before joining ThinkMarkets, Mahmoud was head of market research departments in different reputed financial companies, where he provided market analysis for a variety of asset classes, including FX, equities, indices, and commodity futures. As an experienced market commentator, he was hosted by too many print and broadcast media, including not limited to Sky News Arabia, France 24, Alarabyia, Alsharq-Bloomberg, and CNBC Alarabyia to discuss key risk events their clear impact on the price action. Mahmoud holds a Master of Business Administration (MBA) from Cardiff Metropolitan University of Wales, UK, and speaks Arabic, English, and Spanish.

Shawn
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Shawn Lee
Market Analyst, Malaysia

Shawn Lee has over eight years of experience in the financial market as a market analyst. Shawn provides market key insights and trade ideas through the market and technical analysis. He also held trader roles and guided traders in maximising one’s trading success.

Carl Capolingua
Carl Capolingua
Carl has over 20 years' experience in financial markets and has held senior analyst roles at a number of financial institutions.
Lesego
Lesego Mthombothi
Lesego Mthombothi is an experienced market research analyst and investment professional who proudly holds an honours degree in investment management and completed her CFA level 1.
Mahmoud Alkudsi
Mahmoud Alkudsi
Mahmoud is a market analyst with over a decade of experience in financial markets. Mahmoud mixes technical and fundamental tools with a deeper focus on the technical side, and has experience in providing guidance to all levels of traders.
Shawn
Shawn Lee
Shawn Lee has over eight years of experience in the financial market as a market analyst. Shawn provides market key insights and trade ideas through the market and technical analysis. He also held trader roles and guided traders in maximising one’s trading success.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices or other information contained on this website is provided as general market commentary and does not constitute investment advice. ThinkMarkets will not accept liability for any loss or damage including, without limitation, to any loss of profit which may arise directly or indirectly from use of or reliance on such information.
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