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Navigating the 2024 Halving: How to Trade Bitcoin's Big Event

As April 2024 approaches, the term Bitcoin Halving is gaining extra traction. Crypto traders and enthusiasts alike are waiting in bated breath for the Halving event’s impact not just on BTC’s price, but on altcoins as well.    But what exactly is Bitcoin Halving and why is it important? In simple terms, it is an event hardcoded into Bitcoin’s blockchain protocol which reduces a miner’s rewards by half every four years.    This event adds a scarcity element into the cryptocurrency generating massive appeal and significantly affects the price of BTC. For more information on Bitcoin Halving, read our beginner’s guide here.    Historically, the last three Bitcoin Halving events which happened in 2012, 2016, and 2020 have caused both short- and long-term volatility. Read here to get a comprehensive overview of BTC’s price during the first three Halvings.    In this article, we’ll go through some insights on how to trade the 2024 Bitcoin Halving event.     <h2>Preparing for the 2024 Halving</h2> As the 2024 Bitcoin Halving approaches, there is widespread anticipation for a bullish run. Diving into the historical data and examining how previous Halvings impacted the price of Bitcoin and other altcoins can help identify patterns.    Do you have a trading strategy in plan? Check out how they would’ve fared during the past Halving events using <a href="/ky/learn-to-trade/articles/traders-gym/" rel="noreferrer noopener" target="_blank">Traders’ Gym</a>, our backtesting tool, exclusively available on ThinkTrader Web.    Additionally, it’s crucial to keep an eye out for crucial developments within the Bitcoin ecosystem, such as changes in mining technology or regulatory updates.    <h2>Basic Tools and Indicators to Master before the Halving</h2> Here are the basic tools and indicators that are essential for monitoring the crypto market. Achieving mastery of these tools will help you gain a basic understanding of how the market might move leading to and after the Bitcoing Halving event.    With a ThinkTrader account, you get free access to TradingView’s powerful charting interface, equipped with advanced trading tools and features.    <ol role="list" start="1"> <li aria-setsize="-1" data-aria-level="1" data-aria-posinset="1" data-font="" data-leveltext="%1." data-list-defn-props="{"335552541":0,"335559684":-1,"335559685":720,"335559991":360,"469769242":[65533,0],"469777803":"left","469777804":"%1.","469777815":"hybridMultilevel"}" data-listid="1" role="listitem"> Price and Volume Charts    </li> </ol> Visualise past and present price movements so you can identify patterns and trends.     <ol role="list" start="2"> <li aria-setsize="-1" data-aria-level="1" data-aria-posinset="2" data-font="" data-leveltext="%1." data-list-defn-props="{"335552541":0,"335559684":-1,"335559685":720,"335559991":360,"469769242":[65533,0],"469777803":"left","469777804":"%1.","469777815":"hybridMultilevel"}" data-listid="1" role="listitem"> Moving Averages (SMA and EMA)    </li> </ol> Simple and Exponential Moving Averages can help smooth out price data over specific periods, i.e. before and after the halving, providing insights into the overall direction of the market.    <ol role="list" start="3"> <li aria-setsize="-1" data-aria-level="1" data-aria-posinset="3" data-font="" data-leveltext="%1." data-list-defn-props="{"335552541":0,"335559684":-1,"335559685":720,"335559991":360,"469769242":[65533,0],"469777803":"left","469777804":"%1.","469777815":"hybridMultilevel"}" data-listid="1" role="listitem"> Relative Strength Index (RSI)    </li> </ol> This momentum indicator can help identify whether BTC and other altcoins are overbought or oversold, offering clues on whether there’s an imminent price surge or downturn.  <h2 paraeid="{831b4ef8-5fb2-461b-9e3b-76564a87d13c}{226}" paraid="1284535900">Risk Mitigation During the Bitcoin Halving Event </h2> The Halving event can lead to high volatility in the cryptocurrency market. If you’re planning to trade cryptocurrencies, make sure you apply these risk management strategies:    <ol role="list" start="1"> <li aria-setsize="-1" data-aria-level="1" data-aria-posinset="1" data-font="" data-leveltext="%1." data-list-defn-props="{"335552541":0,"335559684":-1,"335559685":720,"335559991":360,"469769242":[65533,0],"469777803":"left","469777804":"%1.","469777815":"hybridMultilevel"}" data-listid="2" role="listitem"> Set take profit and stop loss orders    </li> </ol> The crypto market moves fast. Setting take profit and stop loss orders will help you to secure profits and/or avoid bigger-than-expected losses. TP and SL orders help you exit positions at a predetermined price level without you constantly having to monitor the charts.    <ol role="list" start="2"> <li aria-setsize="-1" data-aria-level="1" data-aria-posinset="2" data-font="" data-leveltext="%1." data-list-defn-props="{"335552541":0,"335559684":-1,"335559685":720,"335559991":360,"469769242":[65533,0],"469777803":"left","469777804":"%1.","469777815":"hybridMultilevel"}" data-listid="2" role="listitem"> Diversify your portfolio    </li> </ol> While the main focus of the Halving is on Bitcoin, diversifying your portfolio is always ideal. Try to explore altcoins such as ETH, XRP, ADA, or BNB. You can read our guide on how the Bitcoin Halving event affects altcoins here.    <ol role="list" start="3"> <li aria-setsize="-1" data-aria-level="1" data-aria-posinset="3" data-font="" data-leveltext="%1." data-list-defn-props="{"335552541":0,"335559684":-1,"335559685":720,"335559991":360,"469769242":[65533,0],"469777803":"left","469777804":"%1.","469777815":"hybridMultilevel"}" data-listid="2" role="listitem"> Use leverage cautiously    </li> </ol> ThinkMarkets offers crypto traders leverage as high as 50:1. This can amplify gains but also lead to larger losses. It’s recommended that you open smaller positions, especially in highly volatile markets.    <ol role="list" start="4"> <li aria-setsize="-1" data-aria-level="1" data-aria-posinset="4" data-font="" data-leveltext="%1." data-list-defn-props="{"335552541":0,"335559684":-1,"335559685":720,"335559991":360,"469769242":[65533,0],"469777803":"left","469777804":"%1.","469777815":"hybridMultilevel"}" data-listid="2" role="listitem"> Stay up to date    </li> </ol> When trading cryptocurrencies, it’s crucial to keep yourself updated with market news and developments. This can help provide insights into potential price movements and allow you to adjust your strategy accordingly. For example, governments and financial institutions accepting crypto can increase its appeal, thus causing a price surge. On the other hand, stricter regulations or outright banning of cryptocurrencies can lead to downturns.     Trade the Bitcoin Halving event with ThinkMarkets to gain access to advanced trading tools, automatic risk management features, and the latest market news.

7 min readBeginners

CFDs

How to trade CFDs

In a nutshell, when you trade CFDs, you only need to predict whether the underlying asset's price will go up or down and place your trade accordingly. However, there is much more to it. Let's start with the basics.  Here is an example. You've been monitoring the price of gold, and you identified some trading opportunities.  If you think the price of gold will go up, you open a buy trade, also called going long. If you think the price will go down, you place a sell trade, also called going short.  <img alt="Gold example" src="/getmedia/4d3fa820-1eef-4e90-a334-1dfd5789cc32/article-how-cdfs-work-gold.webp" style="width: 552px; height: 368px;" /> Now let’s see both scenarios in detail. <h3>Going long when trading CFDs (buy order)</h3> You think the price is going to go up and place a buy order. To keep the example simple, let's say the price you open your trade at or your entry point is USD 1,000. Your prediction turns out to be correct, the price does rise to USD 1,100, and you decide to close your trade (sell it).  The difference between the opening and closing prices (entry and exit points) – USD 100 – is your profit.  If your prediction was incorrect and the price went down to USD 900 instead, you would lose USD 100.  <img alt="Going long" src="/getmedia/b2a243f7-cb36-4a31-ab8b-cfb2f89a15f3/article-how-cdfs-work-going-long.webp" style="width: 552px; height: 440px;" /> Going long in CFD trading is very similar to investing in shares. You buy a share at a certain price and sell it later at a higher price, gaining profit.  The same logic applies to a CFD contract: Buy low (USD 1,000) + sell high (USD 1,100) = profit (USD 100) However, if the shares you bought dropped in value instead of increasing in price, you sell them at a loss. Same with CFDs:  Buy high (USD 1,000) + sell low (USD 900) = loss (USD 100) Just like with shares, you can hold CFDs indefinitely once you buy them. However, unlike shares, CFD positions have an extra fee for holding them overnight.  <h3>Going short when trading CFDs (sell order)</h3>   You think the price of the gold is going to go down and place a sell order. Your entry point is USD 1,000. Your prediction turns out to be correct, the price does drop to USD 900, and you close your trade with a buy order.  The difference between the buy and sell price – USD 100 – is your profit. If your prediction was incorrect and the price went up to USD 1,100 instead, you would lose USD 100.  <img alt="Going short" src="/getmedia/574ca6b4-33c8-4ee0-87e0-4a23f675bec8/article-how-cdfs-work-going-short.webp" style="width: 552px; height: 442px;" /> Sell high (USD 1,000) + buy low (USD 900) = profit (USD 100) Sell low (USD 1,000) + buy high (USD 1,100) = loss (USD 100) The concept of shorting an instrument usually confuses novice traders because selling something you don't have seems counterintuitive. However, it's a popular practice even in investing. To short a share in investment terms, you would have to borrow it from your broker, sell it on the market and then buy it back, hopefully at a lower price.  In CFD trading, you don't actually buy or sell the underlying asset – you simply predict its future price direction. Although the trades you place are called 'buy' and 'sell' depending on your prediction, in both cases, you are just buying a contract for difference – an agreement to exchange the price difference. So, when you go long, you buy a 'buy' CFD, and if you go short, you buy a 'sell' CFD.     <h2>What is leverage in CFD trading?</h2> In everyday life, leverage means an extra influence over something. For example, you want to lift a heavy box. Lifting it with your bare hands would be pretty challenging, especially if it's large. To make it easier, you could use a lever – a stick, for example. By pushing a stick down, you'd be able to lift a box with much less effort. That means using leverage. Understanding how it works requires some knowledge of physics, but we are not going down that route – there is no doubt it works.  <img alt="what is leverage" src="/getmedia/4d70da42-aa46-4e10-a86e-e08f804ef7e2/article-how-cdfs-work-leverage.webp" style="width: 552px; height: 304px;" /> In trading, the concept of leverage is no different. If you want to open a CFD trade on gold worth USD 1,000, but you only have USD 5 in your trading account, you need to use leverage.  Think of a trade as a heavy box you are trying to lift. You can't lift it with your bare hands – USD 10 in our example, so you need some leverage over it. So, what serves as a lever in CFD trading? The answer is borrowed funds. Let's see how it works.    <h2>How does leverage work in CFD trading?</h2> Leverage in CFD trading means using borrowed from CFD broker funds to open a larger trade. Leverage is usually described as a ratio – 500:1, 200:1 or 30:1, for example. The number indicates the fraction of a trade you need to cover with your own funds to open a leveraged trade – 1/500th, 1/200th or 1/30th. In other words, it indicates how many times bigger your trade is going to be. Leverage is usually set by a broker and differs depending on the instrument you trade. Following our example, to open a USD 1,000 trade with USD 333.33, you’ll need to use a 30:1 leverage (5 X 333.33 = 1,000). In this case, your broker covers the USD 666.66 for you. <img alt="how leverage works" src="/getmedia/bb0a3e1d-be9e-4a8a-be4a-6574a4841edc/how-does-leverage-work-in-cfd-trading-5-1000.png" style="width: 552px; height: 304px;" /> This process is usually described as borrowing. However, just as you don't buy or sell the underlying asset when you trade CFDs, you also don't physically borrow funds. They are just automatically allocated to your account on a trading platform when you choose to trade with leverage. Having much greater market exposure with less capital is the main attraction of trading with leverage. Here is a comparison of how a trade with no leverage compares to a leveraged one, assuming identical market conditions: <h3>Trading scenarios regular trade vs CFD trade</h3> <img alt="Trading scenario 1" src="/getmedia/a34f1f82-7ddf-450f-bddb-ddd1b860bf7c/trading-scenarios-regular-trade-vs-cfd-trade-1.png" style="width: 552px; height: 374px;" /> As you can see, in both scenarios, the profit is USD 100, but with the leveraged trade, you had to pay only USD 5 instead of USD 1000 to get it. However, it is crucial to understand that leverage exposes you to much greater risks as well. In a losing trade, your loss would be much bigger than your starting capital:   <h3>Trading scenarios regular trade vs CFD trade</h3> <img alt="Trading scenario 2" src="/getmedia/5a09d062-056c-4364-b2c6-68dffa6b05e9/trading-scenarios-regular-trade-vs-cfd-trade-2.png" style="width: 552px; height: 373px;" /> In a trade with no leverage, you would lose 1/10th of your starting capital – USD 100 out of USD 1,000. In a leveraged trade, you would lose twenty times more than your trading capital – USD 100 vs USD 5. That's why using risk management tools that help you minimise the risk you are exposed to is crucial in CFD trading. In our next article, <a href="/ky/trading-academy/cfds/risk-management-tools-in-cfd-trading" style="font-weight: bold;">Risk management tools in CFD trading</a>, we’ll go over stop loss and take profit and explain how they work.

10 min readBeginners

CFDs

What are CFDs?

In the modern world of rapidly increasing digitalisation, online CFD trading has earned the title of one of the most popular forms of trading. Compared to investing in company shares that's been around for hundreds of years, CFD trading is still relatively new, and some beginner traders lack an understanding of how it works. But what are CFDs? This article will explain what this term stands for and the main benefits of CFD trading.  <h2>What are CFDs?</h2> A contract for difference (CFD) is a financial derivative product that allows a trader to speculate on the price movements of underlying assets without buying them. A contract for difference means an agreement between a trader and what a CFD broker to exchange the difference between the opening and closing price of a trade.  <img alt="what are CFds" src="/getmedia/fdd9e63f-f8fb-4e7a-a034-bb03c15d9af7/article-what-are-cfds-what.webp" style="width: 552px; height: 192px;" /> <h2>What is the difference between investing in shares and CFD trading? </h2> In online trading, financial instruments can be divided into two main categories – those that change hands (also called cash instruments) and those that don’t (derivatives). This difference determines whether you are required to buy an underlying asset to trade it.  The most common example of cash instruments is shares of a company. A trader is required to buy a share to trade it. Once you own a share, you can actively trade it. However, most traders see them as a long-term investment, buying and holding them for an extended period of time, hoping to capitalise on their growth value. Derivatives (which is what CFD is), on the other hand, are very popular among short-term day traders. A derivative is a financial instrument that has its price based on an underlying asset, such as a forex pair, stock, commodity or other but has a different set of trading conditions and practices. There are many different kinds of derivatives. For example, options and futures are among the most common ones and have been around for decades. However, CFDs have also become popular among traders and are now one of the most traded types of derivatives.  <h2>Why trade CFDs?</h2> CFD trading has numerous benefits that attract thousands of traders worldwide. Here is why they  are drawn to them:     <h3>Access to multiple financial markets at once  </h3> When you trade CFDs, you are not limited to the stock market or forex. You have a large pool of financial instruments in one place. With ThinkMarkets, for example, you can trade CFDs on over 4,000 instruments on various global markets – forex, stocks and stock indices, commodities, cryptocurrencies, exchange-traded funds (ETFs) and futures.     <h3>Flexible lot sizes</h3> CFD trades don’t require you to trade a full lot at once. You can place a trade on just a fraction of it. For example, one standard lot of any forex pair is 100,000 units of currency. When you trade CFDs on ThinkTrader, you can trade from as little as 0,01 lot.    <h3>Trading opportunities on both rising and falling markets  </h3> Crashing markets are usually bad news for long-term investors because it always means the depreciation of their portfolios. CFD traders, on the other hand, are more receptive to falling markets because they present multiple opportunities to short-sell financial instruments.     <h3>Low starting capital</h3> Since traders don’t have to purchase an underlying asset when they place a CFD trade, the required trading capital is much lower. Depending on the instrument, market and trading conditions a CFD broker sets, you can open a trade with as little as a few dollars. With ThinkMarkets, you can start trading with as little as USD 10.     <h3>Large market exposure</h3> CFDs are traded with leverage, which allows traders to open larger trades with a smaller amount of capital. Leverage of 500:1, for instance, allows traders to open a position 500 times larger than their trading capital. However, with the opportunities leverage brings to CFD trading, it also adds a risk of losses larger than the initial capital if risk management tools are not utilised.    <h3>Demo accounts</h3> Almost every CFD provider offers <a href="https://portal.thinkmarkets.com/account/individual/demo" target="_blank">trading platforms with a demo</a> version to give traders an opportunity to familiarise themselves with the trading environment and test their trading strategies. It is also important to note that despite offering multiple advantages, CFD trading presents a certain risk for traders as well. That's why a solid understanding of how it works is essential to determine how you can capitalise on it and limit your risk exposure. Want to know <a href="/ky/trading-academy/cfds/how-does-cfd-trading-work">how CFD trading works?</a> Head to our next article, where we will explain it in detail.

3 min readBeginners

CFDs Trading Articles

Gain a better understanding of stocks and discover how you trade them to potentially profit.