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ADX Indicator: How it Works, Trend Strength Signals & Trading Strategies
<p>The Average Directional Index (ADX) is a popular trend momentum indicator used as a technical analysis tool in forex in order to trade trend continuations.</p> <p>Unlike directional trend trading indicators, the ADX indicator specifically quantifies trend strength, allowing traders to determine whether a bullish or bearish trend is likely to continue, stall, or reverse. However, it produces double-digit risk-adjusted returns when trading trends, per quantified strategies.</p> <p>Whether a beginner trend trader learning the forex technical indicator or an experienced one fine-tuning their trend-following strategy, the ADX trend strength indicator can be a powerful trading tool to add to your arsenal.</p> <p>In this article, we aim to equip forex traders with the following:</p> <ul> <li>What the ADX trend trading indicator is</li> <li>How the forex technical indicator works</li> <li>Trading signals generated by the ADX</li> <li>Why the ADX indicator matters for trend signals</li> <li>Different ADX indicator strategies</li> <li>Real examples using the forex indicator</li> <li>Limitations and considerations of the trend indicator</li> </ul> <h2>What is the Average Directional Index</h2> <p>The Average Directional Index (ADX) is a lagging indicator that measures the strength of a trend on a scale of 0 to 100, used to confirm established trends rather than predict new ones. Unlike other trend oscillators that focus on the direction of the trend, the ADX quantifies the strength of the trend, regardless of whether the trend is bullish or bearish.</p> <p>J. Welles Wilder introduced the ADX in his 1978 book 'New Concepts in Technical Trading Systems', originally a component of his broader Directional Movement Index (DMI) system, which includes the ADX line and the directional +DI and -DI lines. While the ADX measures trend strength, the +DI and -DI show trend direction, often displayed as a complete system, as they work as complementary parts of a trend analysis system.</p> <p>To add the ADX <a href="/en/trading-academy/indicators-and-patterns/technical-indicators-beginners-guide/">trend trading indicator</a>, aka ADX line, to your ThinkMarkets chart, navigate to the indicators menu, type 'ADX' and select "Average Directional Index"</p> <p><img alt="ADX Indicator (ThinkMarkets)" src="/getmedia/c833e394-1432-4505-8ac5-55e9698a9cc7/Academy-Indicators-and-patterns-ADX-Indicator-ZigZag-Indicator-on-GBPUSD-1D-chart-ThinkMarkets-TradingView.jpg" /></p> <p style="text-align: center;">ADX Chart, ThinkMarkets TradingView</p> <h2>How the ADX Works</h2> <p>The ADX momentum indicator consists of one main component that measures trend strength. However, it is typically displayed alongside two directional components that are not shown but still used in the calculations:</p> <ul> <li><strong>ADX line:</strong> Represents trend strength by measuring the absolute difference between +DI and -DI lines, displayed as a smoothed moving average. This is the actual ADX indicator itself.</li> <li><strong>+DI (Positive Directional Indicator):</strong> Compares today's high with yesterday's high. If today's high exceeds yesterday's, the +DI line moves up.</li> <li><strong>-DI (Negative Directional Indicator):</strong> Compares today's low with yesterday's low. If today's low is lower, the -DI line moves down.</li> </ul> <p>When analysing charts, trend traders look at the ADX value to determine if there is a strong trend and the +DI and -DI relationship to determine whether that trend is bullish or bearish.</p> <p><a href="/en/trading-academy/indicators-and-patterns/adx-indicator/">The default ADX indicator settings</a> of 14 periods work well for most trading scenarios, though this can be adjusted based on your trading timeframe and preferences.</p> <p>Here is an image with the key components of the ADX DMI indicator on default settings (notice the ADX line, plus the directional lines):</p> <p><img alt="ADX DMI Settings (ThinkMarkets)" src="/getmedia/f08e06d7-5846-4874-8948-c4e8a5fa85e2/Academy-Indicators-and-patterns-ADX-Indicator-ZigZag-Indicator-Settings-on-GBPUSD-1D-chart-ThinkMarkets-TradingView.jpg" /></p> <p style="text-align: center;">Default ADX Indicator Settings (+DI, -DI), EURUSD 1D Chart</p> <h2>ADX Formula Calculation</h2> <p>The ADX calculation involves four steps that transform price movement into a measure of trend strength:</p> <ol> <li><strong>Calculation of the directional movements:</strong><br /> Positive Directional Movement (+DM) = Current High - Previous High (if positive and greater than -DM)<br /> Negative Directional Movement (-DM) = Previous Low - Current Low (if positive and greater than +DM)</li> <li><strong>Wilder's smoothing using the Average True Range (ATR):</strong><br /> +DI = 100 × (Smoothed +DM ÷ ATR)<br /> -DI = 100 × (Smoothed -DM ÷ ATR)</li> <li><strong>Directional Index (DX) calculation:</strong><br /> DX = 100 × |+DI - -DI| ÷ (+DI + -DI)</li> <li><strong>ADX Calculation as a smoothed average of DX values:</strong><br /> ADX = ((Previous ADX × 13) + Current DX) ÷ 14 (for the standard 14-period setting)</li> </ol> <p>Most <a href="/en/trading-academy/forex/what-is-forex-trading/">forex traders</a> can focus more on interpreting the ADX readings rather than calculating them, as trading platforms automatically perform these calculations.</p> <h2>Why Forex Traders Use the Trend Strength Indicator</h2> <p>While useful in forex trading, the ADX momentum indicator performs well across multiple asset classes, making it a cornerstone technical analysis tool for multi-market traders who need reliable trend strength measurement across their entire portfolio.</p> <p>Here are the main reasons that forex traders should consider the ADX:</p> <ul> <li><strong>Helps Avoid Choppy Market Losses:</strong> It filters out low-momentum, sideways markets, reducing stop-outs from false breakouts or unclear direction</li> <li><strong>Confirms Strong Trends Entry:</strong> It confirms strong trend strength, assuring trend traders they are not entering too early or in a weak move</li> <li><strong>Improves Strategy Accuracy:</strong> It acts as a trend filter, improving strategies like moving average crossovers by triggering trades only when the trend has momentum</li> <li><strong>Enhances Entry and Exit Timing:</strong> It can be used to time entries more effectively, ride trends for longer, and exit at logical points</li> </ul> <p>Different trading styles benefit from ADX in unique ways. <a href="/en/trading-academy/forex/day-trade/">Day traders</a> might use shorter periods (7-10) on lower timeframes to capture quick momentum shifts, while swing traders typically rely on standard settings (14) to identify multi-day trends.</p> <p>The table below outlines how each primary type of forex trader can use ADX in distinct ways.</p> <p><img alt="ADX Traders (ThinkMarkets)" src="/getmedia/1ec616ef-5c0b-4873-bfd2-c54fec978ac0/Academy-Indicators-and-patterns-ADX-Indicator-Best-Forex-Indicators-for-Trend-Trading-ThinkMarkets.png" /></p> <p style="text-align: center;">Optimal ADX Indicator Settings per Trader Type</p> <h2>How Trend Traders Use ADX</h2> <p>The ADX trend trading indicator alone (the ADX line) shows trend strength based on its position on the 0-100 scale.</p> <p>The table below is a guide on how the ADX works within relevant trading environments and strategy approaches:</p> <p><img alt="Trading the ADX Momentum Indicator (ThinkMarkets)" src="/getmedia/ee0a012b-a6a8-47a5-a4a0-a8eefb512992/Academy-Indicators-and-patterns-ADX-Indicator-Best-Forex-Indicators-for-Trend-Trading-ThinkMarkets-1.png" /></p> <p style="text-align: center;">How Traders Use the ADX Momentum Indicator</p> <p><strong>Note:</strong> A reading above 75 is rare, but the ADX may signal a powerful trend that is likely to reverse soon at such high levels.</p> <p>Below is an example of EURUSD, showing each of the four different ADX stages.</p> <p><img alt="ADX Trend Strength Indicator (ThinkMarkets)" src="/getmedia/d74fdb48-8bf0-4f91-8323-b8c2212cdedf/Academy-Indicators-and-patterns-ADX-Indicator-Major-Trend-Reversal-Example-GBPUSD-1D-Chart-1.jpg" /></p> <p style="text-align: center;">ADX Trend Strength Stages, Line Value, EURUSD 1D Chart</p> <p>Trend traders use both the ADX line values and other signals for trading decisions around the strength and direction of a trend.</p> <p><strong>Tip for Beginner Traders:</strong> When first adding ADX to your charts, start by identifying markets with ADX above 25 or 30, as this setup provides the best environment for learning how the trading indicator responds to strong trending conditions.</p> <h2>ADX Trading Signals</h2> <p>The ADX indicator has the ability to generate several trading signals, allowing traders to identify trend strength, anticipate trend changes, and determine optimal entry and exit points. The four primary signals, when including directional components, are:</p> <ol> <li><strong>Trend strength</strong></li> <li><strong>Directional movement</strong></li> <li><strong>ADX divergence</strong></li> <li><strong>Entry confirmation</strong></li> </ol> <p>Let’s look into these separately.</p> <h3>1. ADX Trend Strength</h3> <p>As we have already demonstrated, when the ADX rises above 20-25, it indicates increasing trend strength. This confirms <a href="/en/trading-academy/technical-analysis/momentum-indicator/">trend momentum</a> and suggests that trend traders should maintain or consider entering positions aligned with the prevailing trend.</p> <ul> <li>A rising ADX with an increasing slope signals accelerating momentum, often the strongest phase of trend development.</li> <li>A falling ADX warns of weakening trend momentum and often precedes ranges or trend reversals, suggesting trend traders should tighten stops or begin scaling out of positions.</li> </ul> <h3>2. Directional Movement Signals</h3> <p>The relationship between +DI and -DI lines indicates market direction and generates important trading signals:</p> <ul> <li><strong>+DI crosses above -DI with ADX rising:</strong> Bullish signal suggesting upward momentum is gaining control</li> <li><strong>-DI crosses above +DI with ADX rising:</strong> Bearish signal indicating downward momentum is strengthening</li> </ul> <p>The wider the separation between these lines after a crossover, the stronger the directional movement. Notice the <a href="/en/trading-academy/indicators-and-patterns/bullish-bearish-divergence/">divergence</a> of the DI lines in the EURUSD example above, when the ADX line crossed the 40 level.</p> <p><img alt="ADX Crossover +DI and -DI (ThinkMarkets)" src="/getmedia/79de1127-9578-4ce1-8005-02f8d7128818/Academy-Indicators-and-patterns-ADX-Indicator-Trend-Reversal-Turns-into-Trend-Continuation-GBPUSD-1D-Chart-1.jpg" /></p> <p style="text-align: center;">ADX Crossover of the +DI and -DI Lines, EURUSD 1D Chart</p> <h3>3. ADX Momentum Divergence Signals</h3> <p>When price makes new highs/lows but the ADX fails to make corresponding new highs, divergence occurs. This suggests that the trend is losing momentum, despite continued price movement, and often precedes a trend reversal or significant pullback.</p> <p>For example, if price pushes to new lows in a downtrend but ADX makes a lower high compared to its previous peak, the downward momentum is likely weakening despite the lower prices. Sticking to the EURUSD chart, see below (note the current ADX line while EURUSD is at a peak).</p> <p><img alt="ADX Divergence, Trend Reversal (ThinkMarkets)" src="/getmedia/71757038-c981-4bb5-8824-6ae01ebe9202/Academy-Indicators-and-patterns-ADX-Indicator-ZigZag-Steeper-Angle-Produces-More-Gains-GBPUSD-1D-Chart-1.jpg" /></p> <p style="text-align: center;">ADX Divergence with Price Leads to Trend Change</p> <h3>4. ADX Entry Confirmation Signals</h3> <p>To increase confidence in ADX-generated entry signals, look for these additional confirmations:</p> <ul> <li><strong>Rejection of key levels:</strong> A DI crossover followed by a strong rejection candle (pin bar, <a href="/en/trading-academy/indicators-and-patterns/bullish-bearish-engulfing-patterns/">engulfing pattern</a>) at a recent swing point</li> <li><strong>Volume surge:</strong> A DI crossover accompanied by significantly higher volume, suggesting institutional participation</li> <li><strong>Structure break:</strong> Price breaking through key support/resistance levels as ADX rises past 25, confirming the new trend direction</li> </ul> <p><img alt="ADX Confirmation, Trend Trade (ThinkMarkets)" src="/getmedia/42409e4b-4c68-47f1-8629-76cf9fe6db99/Academy-Indicators-and-patterns-ADX-Indicator-ZigZag-RSI-Reversal-Long-Trade-with-Trend-Confirmation-GBPUSD-1D-Chart-1.jpg" /></p> <p style="text-align: center;">ADX Confirmation Methods for Entering Trend Trades</p> <p>These combined signals typically produce the highest probability ADX-based trades.</p> <p>In summary, the four primary trading scenarios with ADX are:</p> <ol> <li>+DI > -DI and ADX rising = Confirmed uptrend</li> <li>-DI > +DI and ADX rising = Confirmed downtrend</li> <li>+DI > -DI and ADX falling = Weakening uptrend</li> <li>-DI > +DI and ADX falling = Weakening downtrend</li> </ol> <p>Understanding these trend signals progressively builds your ADX expertise. Begin by mastering basic trend strength interpretation, then incorporate average directional movement signals, and finally, advance to divergence analysis.</p> <p>Still, not all ADX signals work out.</p> <h2>Common False Signals With the ADX</h2> <p>Despite providing solid trend signals, the ADX can produce false signals, which can lead to delayed entries or premature exits. Watch out for:</p> <p><strong>Frequent DI crossovers:</strong> When +DI and -DI cross frequently, indicating a lack of directional commitment. <strong>Fix:</strong></p> <ul> <li>Avoid crossovers unless ADX rises between 20 and 25, with price structure breaks</li> <li>Use higher timeframes (4H+) for clearer trend signals</li> <li>Apply multi-timeframe alignment</li> </ul> <p><strong>Late DI crossovers:</strong> Crossovers often come after much of the move has been completed. <strong>Fix:</strong></p> <ul> <li>Look for the first crossover with ADX rising above 25</li> <li>Avoid signals when ADX exceeds 40 (overextended move)</li> </ul> <p><strong>ADX-price divergence:</strong> Price breaks support/resistance without ADX rise (false breakout), or ADX rises while price fails to make new highs/lows (weakening momentum). <strong>Fix:</strong></p> <ul> <li>Validate ADX readings with structural analysis or momentum indicators</li> <li>Check if price action aligns with the ADX trajectory</li> </ul> <p>Reducing false signals can help build better strategies.</p> <h2>ADX Trading Strategies</h2> <p>The ADX can be adapted to various trading systems and serves as a confirmation tool for a trading strategy.</p> <p>Four popular ADX trading strategies that each have an edge during different market conditions and trading styles are:</p> <h3>1. ADX Trend Confirmation Strategy</h3> <p>This ADX strategy aims to validate the existence of a trend and its strength before entering a trade.</p> <p><strong>How it Works:</strong></p> <ul> <li>Use the ADX line to determine trend strength</li> <li>Monitor the +DI and -DI lines for trend direction</li> <li>A trend is considered trade-worthy when ADX is above 25 and rising</li> <li>Use +DI > -DI for long bias, and -DI > +DI for short bias</li> </ul> <h3>2. ADX Momentum Divergence Strategy</h3> <p>The ADX divergence strategy focuses on identifying bullish or bearish divergence between price movement and ADX values to capitalise on potential trend reversals.</p> <p><strong>How it Works:</strong></p> <ul> <li>Look for price making new highs/lows while the ADX fails to make new highs/lows</li> <li>This suggests the trend is losing strength, even if the price hasn’t reversed yet</li> <li>Confirm with +DI/-DI crossover against the prevailing trend</li> </ul> <h3>3. ADX Strategy with Moving Average</h3> <p>This combination enhances trend-following strategies by combining ADX with a moving average.</p> <p><strong>How it Works:</strong></p> <ul> <li>Use a trend-defining moving average (e.g., 50 or 100 EMA)</li> <li>Enter trades in the direction of the moving average slope</li> <li>Use ADX to confirm the trend strength</li> <li>Use +DI/-DI crossovers as timing signals for entries</li> </ul> <h3>4. ADX Breakout Strategy</h3> <p>This ADX indicator strategy allows traders to time entries precisely as a new trend or breakout begins following periods of consolidation.</p> <p>How it Works:</p> <ul> <li>Identify a tight range zone (e.g., triangle, flag, or sideways channel)</li> <li>Watch for low ADX readings (typically below 20), which suggest low volatility</li> <li>A breakout followed by a rising ADX from below 20 to above 25 confirms the beginning of a strong move</li> <li>Direction can also be confirmed with +DI/-DI crossover and price action</li> </ul> <p>However, all ADX strategies can be effective when combined with other analytical methods.</p> <h2>How to Use the ADX Indicator with Other Technical Analysis Methods</h2> <p>While the ADX momentum indicator excels at measuring trend strength, it also works well when paired with other technical analysis tools to provide direction and confirmation.</p> <h3>ADX and Price action</h3> <p>When the ADX rises above 25 with either the +DI or -DI dominant, forex traders should verify this signal by identifying key structural breaks.</p> <p>A rising ADX might suggest increasing momentum, but if price remains trapped within a range or fails to break previous swing points, the signal lacks conviction.</p> <p>Remember that no trading tool, including ADX, should override a clear price structure.</p> <h3>ADX and Volume</h3> <p>A breakout accompanied by a DI crossover and rising ADX becomes significantly more reliable when supported by above-average volume.</p> <p>Conversely, low-volume breakouts with strong ADX readings often fail, as they suggest retail rather than institutional participation.</p> <p>The interplay between volume expansion and ADX strength creates a powerful confirmation system for trending moves.</p> <h3>ADX and Candlestick Patterns</h3> <p>A bullish engulfing candle forming during a +DI crossover with rising ADX indicates aggressive buying pressure at a critical juncture.</p> <p>Similarly, bearish patterns like evening stars or shooting stars during -DI dominance can provide ideal short entries.</p> <p>These <a href="/en/trading-academy/forex/using-candlestick-patterns-in-forex-day-trading/">candlestick pattern formations</a> help visualise the psychological battle between buyers and sellers at key decision points.</p> <h3>ADX and Relative Strength Index (RSI)</h3> <p>When the <a href="/en/trading-academy/indicators-and-patterns/rsi-indicator/">RSI</a> sits above 50 during a bullish DI crossover with a rising ADX, it signals aligned upward momentum across multiple trading indicators.</p> <p>Observe for RSI divergence. When price makes higher highs while RSI makes lower highs, it suggests weakening momentum despite ADX strength, warning of potential trend reversals.</p> <h3>ADX and Bollinger Bands</h3> <p>A price breaking beyond the upper or lower band during a rising ADX suggests <a href="/en/trading-academy/forex/currency-volatility/">expanding volatility</a> in the breakout direction, which is a potential entry signal.</p> <p>However, if the ADX rises while the price remains within narrowing bands, the move may lack the necessary volatility for a sustained breakout, increasing the risk of a false signal.</p> <h3>ADX and Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD)</h3> <p>A rising ADX aligned with an expanding MACD histogram above zero reinforces bullish trend momentum, while readings below zero confirm bearish pressure.</p> <p>This combination helps filter out many false signals that plague range-bound markets.</p> <p>The table summarises the various technical analysis methods that can be combined with ADX signals.</p> <p><img alt="ADX Combinations (ThinkMarkets)" src="/getmedia/edcd8613-c681-4c55-b52a-6bcf7d2a29e1/Academy-Indicators-and-patterns-ADX-Indicator-Best-Forex-Indicators-for-Trend-Trading-ThinkMarkets-2.png" /></p> <p style="text-align: center;">How ADX Indicator Works with Complementary Technical Indicators</p> <h2>ADX Strategy with Triple Confirmation</h2> <p>The example below demonstrates the ADX breakout strategy on the GBPCAD 4H chart, improved with a triple-confirmation approach:</p> <ol> <li><strong>ADX (14):</strong> Trend strength confirmation</li> <li><strong>RSI (14):</strong> Trend momentum confirmation</li> <li><strong>Price Action:</strong> Pattern confirmation</li> </ol> <p><strong>Setup:</strong> ADX (14) + RSI (14) + descending triangle</p> <p><img alt="ADX Breakout Strategy (ThinkMarkets)" src="/getmedia/64252f09-16a4-4a59-b51b-081469724788/Academy-Indicators-and-patterns-ADX-Indicator-ZigZag-Trend-Continuation-Short-Trade-with-MACD-Confirmation-GBPUSD-1D-Chart-1.jpg" /></p> <p style="text-align: center;">ADX Breakout Strategy with Triple Confirmation</p> <p><strong>Market Context:</strong></p> <ul> <li>GBPCAD had formed a descending triangle pattern, indicating potential bearish pressure</li> <li>ADX had been below 20, suggesting a non-trending, consolidation phase</li> <li>RSI was showing early signs of bearish momentum</li> </ul> <p><strong>Signal Formation:</strong></p> <ul> <li>Price broke out of the triangle's support with a bearish candle</li> <li>The RSI reflected an oversold zone, supporting the bearish momentum</li> <li>ADX rose above 25, indicating trend strength</li> <li>All three confirmation elements aligned: pattern breakout (price action), momentum (RSI), and trend strength (ADX)</li> </ul> <p><strong>Trade Execution:</strong></p> <ul> <li><strong>Entry:</strong> A trader would have entered after the bearish candle closed (1.7789)</li> <li><strong>Stop-loss:</strong> 50 pips above the breakout candle high at 1.7950</li> <li><strong>Take-profit</strong>: When +DI crosses -DI at 1.7575 (RSI above 50), resulting in a 1.33x risk-reward ratio</li> </ul> <p><strong>Why This Strategy Works:</strong></p> <p>This multi-confirmation approach combines the strengths of three different types of analysis:</p> <ul> <li>ADX confirms the presence of tradeable trend strength</li> <li>RSI validates the momentum direction</li> <li>The <a href="/en/trading-academy/technical-analysis/day-trading-chart-patterns/">chart pattern</a> (<a href="/en/trading-academy/technical-analysis/the-triangle-chart-pattern-a-short-guide/">descending triangle</a>) provides structural context for the breakout</li> </ul> <p>When implementing this ADX indicator strategy, forex traders should focus first on identifying the pattern formation, then wait for both the ADX and RSI to confirm before executing the trade. This disciplined approach helps filter out false breakouts that would trigger losses with a single indicator strategy.</p> <div> <style type="text/css">.didyouknow { display: block; background: #F1FDf0; width: 600px; border-radius: 20px; gap: 20px; padding-top: 48px; padding-right: 40px; padding-bottom: 48px; padding-left: 40px; font-family: Figtree; font-weight: 600; font-size: 22px; line-height: 140%; letter-spacing: 0%; } </style> </div> <div class="didyouknow"><a href="https://portal.thinkmarkets.com/account/individual/" style="text-decorations:none; color:inherit;" target="_blank">Add the ADX Indicator on ThinkMarkets Charts and Try Your Strategy for Free with a Demo Account!</a></div> <h2>Limitations and Considerations with the ADX</h2> <p>The ADX is a powerful trend strength indicator, but like any other indicator, it has its drawbacks. Here’s what traders should keep in mind:</p> <ul> <li><strong>Inconsistency in ranging and volatile markets:</strong> The ADX is a lagging trend indicator that becomes inconsistent during periods of consolidation and volatility. Consider cross-referencing this indicator with other trading indicators and price action to gain a deeper understanding.</li> <li><strong>Timeframe considerations and parameter adjustments:</strong> The default 14-period setting may not be suitable for all time frames or markets. Test to find the sweet spot, a period that strikes a balance between speed and reliability.</li> <li><strong>Common misinterpretations:</strong> <ul> <li>Believing that a rising ADX equates to a price rise (the momentum indicator only measures trend strength, not direction)</li> <li>Assuming that a low ADX reading equates to a reversal (this doesn't always mean a trend change, it only suggests exhaustion)</li> <li>Using ADX solely for entries (the trading tool should be used as a secondary filter)</li> </ul> </li> <li><strong>Market-specific considerations:</strong> Different markets have unique characteristics that affect ADX readings: <ul> <li><strong>Forex:</strong> Generally requires higher ADX thresholds (25-30) for trend confirmation due to frequent ranging periods</li> <li><strong>Stocks:</strong> Stocks may respond better to lower ADX thresholds (20-25) depending on their volatility profiles</li> <li><strong>Commodities:</strong> Often display stronger trends with clearer ADX signals due to fundamental supply-demand dynamics</li> </ul> </li> <li><strong>Long-term reliability concerns:</strong> History shows that the ADX may be less reliable during: <ul> <li>Major economic crises when abnormal volatility disrupts trends</li> <li>Prolonged environments of low volatility when the ADX provides meaningless trend readings</li> <li>Periods that create artificial trend movements</li> </ul> </li> </ul> <h2>Is Trading with the ADX Right for You?</h2> <p>The ADX is one of the most valuable technical analysis tools for trend-following traders in the forex market. Unlike trend indicators that focus on price direction, ADX quantifies trend strength, helping trend traders:</p> <ul> <li>Identify strong, tradable trends</li> <li>Avoid choppy, directionless markets</li> <li>Confirm breakouts and trend continuations</li> <li>Time strategic entries and exits</li> <li>Filter out false signals when combined with other trading tools</li> </ul> <p>While no trading indicator is the holy grail, understanding the strengths and limitations of ADX enables trend traders to incorporate it effectively into their trading systems, especially when combined with complementary technical analysis tools.</p> <p>Whether you're a day trader seeking intraday momentum or a swing trader capturing larger market moves, learning the ADX momentum indicator can improve your ability to trade trends across various market conditions.</p> <p>Access real-time ADX data across all major currency pairs and other instruments through our advanced charting package, giving you the edge needed to identify trading opportunities in today's dynamic markets.</p>

ZigZag Indicator Signals, Strategies and Integration
<p>The ZigZag indicator is a technical tool used by forex traders to spot chart patterns that may have been otherwise hidden by minor price movements known as “market noise.”</p> <p>By connecting major swing highs and swing lows with trend lines, the ZigZag tool provides a clearer visual context for identifying major turning points and trend continuations. Its graphical clarity reduces trend analysis time and helps navigate through market volatility.</p> <p>Focusing only on meaningful price movements, the Zig Zag indicator is a popular trading tool among swing traders and trend traders. Incorporating the technical indicator into a ZigZag trading strategy can simplify trading analysis and help cut through market noise.</p> <p>In this short trading guide, traders will learn:</p> <ul> <li>What the ZigZag trading indicator is</li> <li>The trading signals provided by the market indicator</li> <li>Different trading strategies to use with the ZigZag</li> <li>Integrating the forex indicator with existing strategies</li> <li>Risk management and best practices</li> </ul> <p>Whether you are looking to trade trends, identify price reversals, or improve your market structure analysis, understanding the Zig Zag indicator can improve your technical trading approach and help you build a proper ZigZag trading strategy.</p> <div> <style type="text/css">.didyouknow { display: block; background: #F1FDf0; width: 600px; border-radius: 20px; gap: 20px; padding-top: 48px; padding-right: 40px; padding-bottom: 48px; padding-left: 40px; font-family: Figtree; font-weight: 600; font-size: 22px; line-height: 140%; letter-spacing: 0%; } </style> </div> <div style="text-align: center;"> <style type="text/css">.btn { font: Figtree; justify-content: center; align-items: center; text-align: center; gap: 7px; font-style: normal; font-size: 18px; line-height: 24px; padding: 13px 20px; border: 1px solid #ddd; border-radius: 38px; background: #5EE15A; } </style> </div> <div class="didyouknow">Ready to Test Your Own ZigZag Trading Strategy?<br /> <br /> <a class="btn" href="https://portal.thinkmarkets.com/account/individual/demo" style="text-decoration: none; font-weight: 500; color: #000000; background: 5EE15A;" target="_blank">Try Here!</a> <br /> <br /> No Strategy? Read Along.</div> <h2>What is the ZigZag Indicator</h2> <p>The ZigZag indicator is a technical analysis tool that connects swing highs and swing lows with straight lines to filter out price moves that exceed a certain threshold.</p> <p><img alt="ZigZag Indicator - ThinkMarkets" src="/getmedia/91bf11cd-9ff2-42d2-8eea-683b68778ef3/Academy-indicators-and-patterns-zigzag-indicator-Formation-of-ZigZag-Straight-Lines.png" /></p> <p style="text-align: center;">Formation of ZigZag Straight Lines</p> <p>While primarily a lagging indicator due to plotting Ziz Zag lines after price action exceeds this threshold, when these pivot points are confirmed (i.e. when the Zig Zag line is plotted), they serve as a powerful leading trend indicator of potential future price continuation.</p> <p>Besides allowing traders to anticipate trend continuation as well as reversal patterns, it boasts advantages over similar trader tools like the Parabolic SAR or the Renko charts:</p> <ul> <li>It focuses on the magnitude of price changes, not on time intervals, which makes it more <strong>effective at identifying major market shifts</strong></li> <li>It maintains the visual context and <a href="/en/trading-academy/technical-analysis/single-candlestick-patterns-a-guide-for-day-trading/">candlestick information</a> of price charts while still filtering noise, which <strong>allows concurrent chart pattern analysis</strong></li> </ul> <p>The Zig Zag indicator helps <a href="/en/trading-academy/forex/">forex traders</a> in several other ways, starting with decluttering their view by highlighting cleaner price patterns while also revealing the underlying market structure and the direction of the trend.</p> <p>Notably, the Zig Zag indicator can assist with recognising parts of harmonics, Elliott waves and several geometry-based <a href="/en/trading-academy/technical-analysis/day-trading-chart-patterns/">chart patterns</a> due to how it marks pivot points. The term ‘Zig Zag’ itself is used extensively with the Elliott Wave Theory to pinpoint corrective wave structures.</p> <p>This combination creates a strong framework for both forex trend analysis and tactical trade execution, which brings us to the importance of understanding how the Zig Zag tool works.</p> <h2>How the Zig Zag Indicator Works</h2> <p>The Zig Zag indicator works by identifying major swing highs or swing lows on price charts based on a defined percentage threshold or deviation set by the user.</p> <p>Once the price movement exceeds this threshold from the previous turning point, the forex <a href="/en/trading-academy/indicators-and-patterns/technical-indicators-beginners-guide/">technical indicator</a> draws a straight trendline connecting these two points. This process continues with each new qualifying pivot point.</p> <p>Here is how this looks on ThinkMarkets GBPUSD 1-day chart on TradingView:</p> <p><img alt="Zig Zag Indicator (ThinkMarkets)" src="/getmedia/5a49526d-cfce-459b-9308-8d96ec70df07/Academy-indicators-and-patterns-zigzag-indicator-on-GBPUSD-1D-chart-ThinkMarkets-TradingView.jpg" /></p> <p style="text-align: center;">Zig Zag Indicator on GBPUSD 1D chart, ThinkMarkets TradingView</p> <p>Naturally, as a technical indicator in trading, the ZigZag can achieve this by a mathematical function - i.e. a formula.</p> <h3>Zig Zag Indicator Highs and Lows Formula</h3> <p>Below is the formula of how the ZigZag indicator calculates when to plot its lines:</p> <p style="text-align: center;"><strong>ZigZag (HL, %change=X, retrace=FALSE, LastExtreme=TRUE)</strong></p> <p style="text-align: center;"><strong>If %change>=X,plot ZigZag</strong></p> <p><strong>Where,</strong></p> <ul> <li><strong>HL</strong> = High/Low price series or closing price series</li> <li><strong>%change</strong> = Minimum price movement, in percentage</li> <li><strong>Retrace</strong> = Answers if change is a retracement of the previous move or an absolute change from peak to trough</li> <li><strong>Last Extreme</strong> = Answers if the extreme price is the same over multiple periods, is the extreme price the first or last observation</li> </ul> <p>The user has control of how the indicator plots ZigZag lines through its settings.</p> <h3>Zig Zag Indicator Settings</h3> <p>The ZigZag indicator has three primary settings:</p> <ol> <li><strong>Depth:</strong> Ensures swing points are major by setting a minimum number of candles</li> <li><strong>Deviation:</strong> Controls the magnitude of price movement required to plot a ZigZag</li> <li><strong>Backstep:</strong> Prevents successive pivot points from being plotted too close together</li> </ol> <p><img alt="ZigZag Indicator Default Settings (ThinkMarkets)" src="/getmedia/a0493442-2995-4046-9d8f-715a37fefbc7/Academy-indicators-and-patterns-zigzag-indicator-Settings-on-GBPUSD-1D-chart-ThinkMarkets-TradingView.jpg" /></p> <p style="text-align: center;">Zig Zag Indicator Settings on GBPUSD 1D chart, ThinkMarkets TradingView</p> <p>Each component of the ZigZag trading indicator functions differently, implying a particular impact during trading.</p> <p>Next is a summary of the ZigZag settings, what each component does and how changing settings can impact trading.</p> <p><img alt="Zig Zag Indicator Trading Signals (ThinkMarkets)" src="/getmedia/6913c198-8c6b-4534-b770-eef0099e6fb8/Academy-indicators-and-patterns-zigzag-indicator-Trading-Signals-ThinkMarkets.png" /></p> <p style="text-align: center;">Zig Zag Indicator Components and How They Function</p> <p>The deviation is a key parameter in the Zig Zag indicator's formula, as it is mainly responsible for how sensitive the indicator is. Generally, the accepted range is 5-15%, where the higher the figure is, the less sensitive the indicator is, which results in filtering out more noise.</p> <p>As a point of reference, scalpers and day traders could aim for 3-5%; in swing trading, traders may target 5-8%; long-term or position traders may opt for 10-15%. However, slight adjustments should be considered in the dynamic forex markets based on the trading session and the forex pair one trades.</p> <h2>What Are the Main Trading Signals of the ZigZag Indicator</h2> <p>The ZigZag indicator provides traders with objective signals by identifying significant price movements and filtering out minor fluctuations. These signals are not direct buy or sell recommendations but rather tools to interpret market structure and plan trades.</p> <p>The Zigzag trading indicator generates three actionable signals (with insights), acting as a trend reversal and trend trading indicator:</p> <ol> <li><strong>Trend reversals</strong> at major swing highs and lows</li> <li><strong>Trend continuations</strong> based on the direction of the ZigZag lines</li> <li><strong>Trend momentum</strong> gauged by length and angle of the ZigZag lines (used when trend trading)</li> </ol> <p>Let us take a closer look at each one separately.</p> <h3>1. Zig-Zag Indicator Trend Reversal</h3> <p>The ZigZag pivot points mark significant reversal points, often aligning with key support and resistance levels. Traders can use pivot points to set stop-loss or profit-taking levels below swing lows (for long trades) or above swing highs (for short trades).</p> <p><img alt="ZigZag Trend Reversal Trade (ThinkMarkets)" src="/getmedia/fc2af4e6-e8e7-40bc-ba03-45a385c4da74/Academy-indicators-and-patterns-zigzag-indicator-Major-Trend-Reversal-Example-GBPUSD-1D-Chart-1.jpg" /></p> <p style="text-align: center;">Major Trend Reversal Example, GBPUSD 1D Chart</p> <p>For intermediate traders, the structures that form at swing highs and lows can be used to make Elliott wave patterns or harmonic patterns easier to identify.</p> <p>On the advanced patterns front, when similar Zig Zag patterns appear, it suggests market rhythm or symmetry, which can be used to inform speculation about future price movements.</p> <h3>2. Zig-Zag Indicator Trend Continuation</h3> <p>The ZigZag reveals a clear market structure by showing higher highs and higher lows in uptrends or lower highs and lower lows in downtrends, confirming the prevailing trend direction. This implies it can be used as a trend following indicator.</p> <p>Notably, when a new ZigZag pivot forms, it signals that the price has reversed by the specified percentage threshold, which can be used as a trend confirmation signal at early turning points. Naturally, the pivot points act as breakout zones in trend continuations.</p> <p><img alt="ZigZag Trend Continuation Trade (ThinkMarkets)" src="/getmedia/c9bede24-f5f0-4457-9622-7e87915be309/Academy-indicators-and-patterns-zigzag-indicator-Trend-Reversal-Turns-into-Trend-Continuation-GBPUSD-1D-Chart-1.jpg" /></p> <p style="text-align: center;">Trend Reversal Turns into Trend Continuation, GBPUSD 1D Chart</p> <h3>3. Zig-Zag Indicator Trend Momentum</h3> <p>Longer ZigZag lines indicate stronger momentum, and shorter consolidation or trend exhaustion. On the other hand, steeper angles suggest strong momentum, while flatter angles may indicate trend exhaustion or reversal potential.</p> <p>In the GBPUSD 1D example below, an angle of 70.68 produced a 420 pips whereas an angle of 73.12 produced 727 pips, nearly twice.</p> <p><img alt="ZigZag Trend Momentum (ThinkMarkets)" src="/getmedia/e91552df-fd77-4a35-8cb0-f28fa3dda957/Academy-indicators-and-patterns-zigzag-indicator-Steeper-Angle-Produces-More-Gains-GBPUSD-1D-Chart-1.jpg" /></p> <p style="text-align: center;">ZigZag Steeper Angle Produces More Gains, GBPUSD 1D Chart</p> <p>The ZigZag length and angle also simplify the process of measuring the required Fibonacci retracement and extension levels. This aids in timing trades.</p> <p>For example, a 10% ZigZag pattern on a weekly chart can reveal the overall trend, while smaller settings, such as 5% on daily charts or 3% on 4-hour charts, may help traders identify shorter-term moves and refine entries.</p> <h2>Examples of ZigZag Trading Strategies</h2> <p>Building on our understanding of the ZigZag trading indicator signals, let us explore two practical trading strategies designed to capitalise on reversals and continuations (with momentum confirmation).</p> <h3>Swing Reversal ZigZag Trading Strategy</h3> <p>Here, traders use the indicator to clearly identify swing highs and swing lows, then trade reversals at those points when confirmed by other indicators or <a href="/en/trading-academy/forex/using-candlestick-patterns-in-forex-day-trading/">candlestick patterns</a>.</p> <p>This ZigZag strategy works best in ranging markets or at the potential end of extended trends, where a reversal is more likely.</p> <p><strong>How It Works:</strong></p> <ul> <li><strong>Identify a Significant Pivot Point:</strong> Wait for the ZigZag to mark a swing low or swing high (visible V-shape and inverted V-shape patterns that often appear in <a href="/en/trading-academy/technical-analysis/what-is-the-dead-cat-bounce-pattern-and-how-to-identify-it/">Dead Cat Bounces</a>).</li> <li><strong>Confirm the Reversal:</strong> Look for confirmation signals such as: <ul> <li>Bullish candlestick patterns (hammer, <a href="/en/trading-academy/technical-analysis/using-double-candlestick-patterns-in-day-trading/">engulfing</a>) at swing lows</li> <li>Bearish candlestick patterns (shooting star, engulfing) at swing highs</li> <li>RSI showing oversold conditions (below 30) at swing lows or overbought (above 70) at swing highs</li> </ul> </li> <li><strong>Execute the Trade:</strong> <ul> <li><strong>For long trades:</strong> Enter after confirmation near the swing low</li> <li><strong>For short trades:</strong> Enter after confirmation near the swing high</li> <li>Set stop-loss just below the recent swing low (for longs) or above the swing high (for shorts)</li> <li>Initially, target the previous swing point, the RSI overbought/oversold</li> </ul> </li> <li><strong>Manage the Position:</strong> <ul> <li>Consider partial profit-taking at the halfway point to the target</li> <li>Trail stops as price moves favorably to lock in profits</li> </ul> </li> </ul> <p>In the GBPUSD 1D long example below, using this method resulted in a gain with a risk-reward ratio of approximately 2x:</p> <ul> <li><strong>Take Profit:</strong> when the RSI closes in the overbought region near 1.29</li> <li><strong>Stop loss:</strong> 30 pips below the last ZigZag swing, measured near 1.22</li> </ul> <p><img alt="ZigZag Trend Trade (ThinkMarkets)" src="/getmedia/beb3f04d-0907-4a03-8569-99fd5f525102/Academy-indicators-and-patterns-zigzag-indicator-RSI-Reversal-Long-Trade-with-Trend-Confirmation-GBPUSD-1D-Chart-1.jpg" /></p> <p style="text-align: center;">ZigZag RSI Reversal (Long) Trade with Trend Confirmation, GBPUSD 1D Chart</p> <h3>Trend Following ZigZag Trading Strategy</h3> <p>This strategy combines the ZigZag's trend signal with trendline analysis to capture continuation moves after pullbacks. It works best in trending markets with regular pullbacks, particularly effective on daily and 4-hour charts.</p> <p><strong>How It Works:</strong></p> <ul> <li><strong>Identify the Dominant Trend:</strong> Use this indicator to confirm higher highs and higher lows (uptrend) or lower highs and lower lows (downtrend).</li> <li><strong>Draw Trendlines:</strong> Connect consecutive ZigZag swing highs (for downtrends) or swing lows (for uptrends).</li> <li><strong>Wait for a Pullback:</strong> Look for a counter-trend move that pulls back to the ZigZag lines or forms a new ZigZag leg against the trend.</li> <li><strong>Enter on Continuation Confirmation:</strong> <ul> <li><strong>For uptrends:</strong> Enter long when price bounces off trendline support or breaks above a minor high</li> <li><strong>For downtrends:</strong> Enter short when price rejects from trendline resistance or breaks below a minor low</li> <li>Confirm with volume increase or momentum indicator alignment (MACD crossover)</li> <li>Place a stop-loss beyond the most recent counter-trend ZigZag pivot</li> </ul> </li> <li><strong>Monitor Zigzag Momentum Signals:</strong> <ul> <li>Watch for ZigZag line characteristics during the trade</li> <li><strong>Strong momentum:</strong> long ZigZag legs with steep angles in trend direction</li> <li><strong>Weakening momentum:</strong> shorter ZigZag legs with flatter angles</li> <li><strong>Warning sign:</strong> counter-trend ZigZag moves deepening beyond 50% retracement</li> </ul> </li> <li><strong>Take Profit Approaches:</strong> <ul> <li>Use Fibonacci extensions (127.2% or 161.8%) of the pullback move</li> <li>Target the length of the previous ZigZag leg in the trend direction</li> <li>Implement a trailing stop based on subsequent ZigZag pivots</li> <li>Consider scaling out when ZigZag momentum shows signs of weakening</li> </ul> </li> </ul> <p>In the GBPUSD 1D short example below, using this method resulted in a gain with a risk-reward ratio of approximately 2x:</p> <ul> <li><strong>Take Profit:</strong> at 161.8% of the prior major Zig Zag near 1.21</li> <li><strong>Stop loss:</strong> 30 pips above the last ZigZag swing, measured near 1.3070</li> </ul> <p><img alt="Zig Zag Trend Trade (ThinkMarkets)" src="/getmedia/2ee9b913-9226-4886-809f-50ca2c4203cb/Academy-indicators-and-patterns-zigzag-indicator-Trend-Continuation-Short-Trade-with-MACD-Confirmation-GBPUSD-1D-Chart-1.jpg" /></p> <p style="text-align: center;">Zig Zag Trend Continuation (Short) Trade with MACD Confirmation, GBPUSD 1D Chart</p> <p>By keeping a close eye on the length, angle, and pattern of ZigZag lines throughout a trade, traders can manage their positions more effectively, hold through periods of strong momentum and reduce exposure when momentum begins to wane.</p> <h3>Additional ZigZag Trading Strategies</h3> <p>Beyond these three core strategies, traders often implement several other ZigZag-based approaches:</p> <ol> <li><strong>Fibonacci Confluence Strategy:</strong> Uses ZigZag pivot points as anchors for Fibonacci retracement and extension levels to identify precise entry and exit points during trends.</li> <li><strong>ZigZag Channel Trading:</strong> Forms price channels by connecting consecutive ZigZag swing highs and lows, then trades bounces within the channel or breakouts from it.</li> <li><strong>Pattern Recognition Strategy:</strong> Uses the ZigZag to more clearly visualise classic chart patterns like double top and double bottom patterns, head and shoulders, or <a href="/en/trading-academy/technical-analysis/using-double-candlestick-patterns-in-day-trading/">triangles</a> that might be obscured in noisy price action.</li> <li><strong>Elliott Wave Analysis:</strong> Leverages the ZigZag's filtering capability to more accurately count waves and identify potential market reversals.</li> </ol> <p>Each of those ZigZag trading strategies can be adjusted based on trading style, risk tolerance, and the markets one trades.</p> <h2>How to Use the Zig Zag Indicator In A Strategy</h2> <p>The process of integrating the ZigZag trading indicator into a trading strategy involves the following steps:</p> <p><strong>Step 1 - Select the Indicator:</strong> Add the Zigzag from the indicator list.</p> <p><strong>Step 2 - Set Initial Parameters:</strong> Set the deviation at a 5% threshold for a balanced view (or use trading platform default settings).</p> <p><strong>Step 3 - Adjust Visual Properties:</strong> Adjust visuals; line colour, thickness, and style for clear chart reading.</p> <p><strong>Step 4 - Fine-Tune Settings:</strong> Adjust depth, deviation, and backstep parameters according to your target market and timeframe.</p> <p><strong>Step 5 - Analyse Price Structure:</strong> Monitor how the indicator connects recent highs and lows, focus on swing patterns, trend direction and potential reversal zones, and pay attention to ZigZag characteristics (length, angle, pattern) that may suggest trend continuation or exhaustion.</p> <p><strong>Step 6 - Plan Your Trade:</strong> Align entries with additional confirmation tools, such as support/resistance levels, momentum indicators, or candlestick patterns. Set logical stop-loss levels near recent ZigZag pivots and determine take-profit targets based on previous ZigZag waves or Fibonacci levels.</p> <p>A part of integrating the ZigZag into a trading strategy, as revealed in step 4, is adjusting its settings based on the forex pair one trades.</p> <h2>Adjusting Settings for Different Forex Markets</h2> <p>This allows traders to align the forex trading indicator with their own volatility levels and price behaviour.</p> <p>Here are examples of settings to use for all three pair types (of course, one can create their own), along with the rationale behind the changes:</p> <p><img alt="ZigZag Indicator Forex Settings (ThinkMarkets)" src="/getmedia/96d3bde3-890c-4b60-967d-5aa7fd952d45/Academy-indicators-and-patterns-zigzag-indicator-Forex-Settings-ThinkMarkets.png" /></p> <p style="text-align: center;">Adjusting ZigZag Indicator Settings for Forex</p> <p><strong>Major pairs:</strong> Less volatile, highly liquid markets require moderate settings to identify meaningful swings without excessive filtering. The backstep ensures the indicator doesn’t plot two swing highs or lows too close together, which keeps the structure of the ZigZag lines clear and readable.</p> <p><strong>Cross pairs:</strong> Higher volatility needs slightly increased thresholds to filter minor price fluctuations. Slightly higher settings smooth out market noise while maintaining responsiveness.</p> <p><strong>Exotic pairs:</strong> Extreme volatility requires more aggressive filtering to identify truly significant price movements. Wider ZigZag parameters help the indicator identify only significant turning points in these unpredictable markets.</p> <p>Naturally, another consideration for integrating the ZigZag into a strategy is the timeframes.</p> <h3>Timeframe Considerations</h3> <p>Different timeframes serve distinct trading objectives when using the ZigZag indicator:</p> <ul> <li><strong>Lower timeframes (15M-1H):</strong> The indicator can be used with tighter settings for intraday trading, though they contain more noise</li> <li><strong>4-Hour charts:</strong> Provide frequent trading opportunities while maintaining reasonable signal reliability</li> <li><strong>Daily charts:</strong> Offer excellent balance between signal quality and timeliness for most ZigZag strategies</li> <li><strong>Weekly charts:</strong> Ideal for identifying major trend changes and suited for position trading</li> </ul> <p>Swing traders typically find the 4H and daily timeframes most effective, while position traders benefit from weekly chart analysis. For a comprehensive approach, consider using multiple timeframes with coordinated ZigZag settings to confirm reversal and trend signals across different time perspectives.</p> <div> <style type="text/css">.didyouknow { display: block; background: #F1FDf0; width: 600px; border-radius: 20px; gap: 20px; padding-top: 48px; padding-right: 40px; padding-bottom: 48px; padding-left: 40px; font-family: Figtree; font-weight: 600; font-size: 22px; line-height: 140%; letter-spacing: 0%; } </style> </div> <div style="text-align: center;"> <style type="text/css">.btn { font: Figtree; justify-content: center; align-items: center; text-align: center; gap: 7px; font-style: normal; font-size: 18px; line-height: 24px; padding: 13px 20px; border: 1px solid #ddd; border-radius: 38px; background: #5EE15A; } </style> </div> <div class="didyouknow">Test Your Forex ZigZag Strategy on ThinkMarkets TradingView<br /> <br /> <a class="btn" href="https://portal.thinkmarkets.com/account/individual/demo" style="text-decoration: none; font-weight: 500; color: #000000; background: 5EE15A;" target="_blank">Here!</a></div> <h2>Integrating the ZigZag Trading Indicator into Your Strategy</h2> <p>To demonstrate how to integrate the ZigZag trading indicator into your trading strategy effectively, let us examine a couple of key application scenarios.</p> <h3>Trend-Following ZigZag Strategy with EMA and RSI Technical Indicators</h3> <p>This example shows how to use the ZigZag indicator to improve a classic trend following strategy on the USDCAD 1D chart, using the <a href="/en/trading-academy/indicators-and-patterns/rsi-indicator/">Relative Strength Index</a> (RSI) and the Exponential Moving Average (EMA).</p> <p>Setup: ZigZag (14 depth, 5% deviation, 5 backsteps) + 100 EMA + RSI (14)</p> <p><img alt="ZigZag Trading Strategy (ThinkMarkets)" src="/getmedia/4ebea59f-47e0-40c6-92ae-5b4aeafb314c/Academy-indicators-and-patterns-zigzag-indicator-Strategy-with-EMA-and-RSI-Confirmation-USDCAD-1D-Chart-1.jpg" /></p> <p style="text-align: center;">Zig Zag Strategy with EMA and RSI Confirmation, USDCAD 1D Chart</p> <p><strong>Signal:</strong></p> <ul> <li>ZigZag confirmed a higher high and higher low, validating the uptrend</li> <li>Price pulled back and held the 100 EMA dynamic support zone at 1.35, forming a ZigZag low</li> <li>RSI dipped below 50 and then reversed, showing a momentum shift</li> </ul> <p><strong>Trade Execution:</strong></p> <ul> <li><strong>Entry:</strong> After ZigZag marked a higher low, entry on the first bullish candle that aligned with the RSI momentum shift (1.3570)</li> <li><strong>Stop-loss:</strong> Placed 30 pips below the most recent swing low (1.3385)</li> <li><strong>Take-profit:</strong> Price closing in RSI overbought region (1.3880)</li> </ul> <p>Using this method resulted in a gain with a risk-reward ratio of approximately 1.7x.</p> <p>This ZigZag strategy combined trend structure (from ZigZag), dynamic support (from EMA), and momentum confirmation (from RSI) to create a high-probability entry.</p> <h3>Reversal ZigZag Strategy with EMA and MACD Technical Indicators</h3> <p>This reversal trading strategy example demonstrates how to identify potential turns at major points, using CAD/JPY, which formed a double top on the daily chart.</p> <p><strong>Setup:</strong> ZigZag (20 depth, 8 deviation, 7% backsteps) + MACD</p> <p><img alt="Zig Zag Trading Strategy (ThinkMarkets)" src="/getmedia/67cebbb7-063c-4c3a-a580-2a16bdd4901b/Academy-indicators-and-patterns-zigzag-indicator-Strategy-with-EMA-and-MACD-Confirmation-CADJPY-1D-Chart-1.jpg" /></p> <p style="text-align: center;">ZigZag Strategy with EMA and MACD Confirmation, CADJPY 1D Chart</p> <p><strong>Signal:</strong></p> <ul> <li>ZigZag clearly delineated a double top formation (M pattern)</li> <li>The MACD histogram and lines turned negative, confirming a momentum shift</li> <li>The market slid below the 100 EMA to confirm a trend change from bullish to bearish</li> </ul> <p><strong>Trade Execution:</strong></p> <ul> <li><strong>Entry:</strong> Short position when the price broke below the recent ZigZag low (104.70)</li> <li><strong>Stop-loss:</strong> Placed 30 pips above the 100 EMA (106.15)</li> <li><strong>Take-profit:</strong> The height of the double top pattern projected downward from the breakout point (length of 110.50 to 104.70 from breakout point -> 98.90)</li> </ul> <p>As with the previous example, this position combined the ZigZag's ability to outline patterns, an EMA trend change and MACD momentum confirmation, resulting in a trade that offered a nearly 4x risk:reward.</p> <h2>Risk Management and Best Practices to Use ZigZag</h2> <p>While the Zig Zag indicator is often used as a trading analysis tool, it has its drawbacks.</p> <p>For starters, the indicator lags. This means that ZigZags appear some time after the price has exceeded the threshold. Relying solely on it would result in trends that have already moved substantially, which supports the idea of confirming trends.</p> <p>Another downside is how susceptible the trading tool can be to false signals or whipsaws, especially in volatile forex markets. To mitigate these effects:</p> <ul> <li><strong>Adjust Settings:</strong> Increase the deviation percentage threshold to reduce sensitivity to minor price fluctuations</li> <li><strong>Combine with Other Indicators:</strong> Use the ZigZag trading indicator with other complementary forex tools like the RSI or the MACD for confirmation</li> <li><strong>Confirm with Volume:</strong> Analyse real trading volume to confirm the strength of a trend</li> <li><strong>Use Whipsaw Filters:</strong> Use other types of indicators that help identify and filter out whipsaw patterns</li> </ul> <p>Due to these drawbacks, prudent position sizing is crucial. Traders should risk a small percentage (ideally 1-2%) of their trading capital for every position to ensure a minimal and manageable drawdown.</p> <h2>Common Trader Mistakes with the Zig Zag Indicators</h2> <p>Traders should be aware of the following mistakes when using the ZigZag indicator:</p> <ul> <li><strong>Ignoring the broader market context:</strong> Focusing exclusively on ZigZag patterns without considering the overall market trend can result in misguided trades. Always analyse the prevailing market direction alongside ZigZag signals.</li> <li><strong>Using inappropriate settings for different timeframes:</strong> Applying uniform settings across different timeframes or assets leads to inaccurate representations. Higher timeframes generally require larger deviation settings.</li> <li><strong>Failing to wait for pattern confirmation:</strong> The ZigZag indicator can redraw its lines as new price data becomes available. Acting on a pattern before it is fully formed can lead to trades based on incomplete information.</li> <li><strong>Neglecting to adjust for market conditions:</strong> Market volatility varies across different assets and timeframes. Using static ZigZag settings without adjusting for these variations can result in missed opportunities or false signals.</li> </ul> <p>Understanding the importance of avoiding these actions can help many traders make more informed live trading decisions when using the tool.</p> <h2>Conclusion</h2> <p>The Zig Zag indicator is a tool used by many traders to filter out market noise by highlighting major turning points and potential continuations in trend direction. Its visual clarity allows forex traders to analyse market structures more easily and aid in technical nature decisions.</p> <p>When applying a ZigZag trading strategy, remember these key principles:</p> <ul> <li>Use the tool as part of a complete trading system, not in isolation</li> <li>Combine its signals with momentum analysis and breakout patterns for confirmation</li> <li>Adjust settings as market conditions and volatility change</li> <li>Apply proper risk management with appropriate stops near ZigZag points</li> </ul> <p>However, whether you use the ZigZag indicator as a reversal or trend tool, or count Elliott waves, to integrate it into your trading toolbox properly, you must master both its strengths and limitations. The Zig Zag indicator does not predict the future after all.</p> <div> </div>

What are Forex Economic Indicators and How They Impact Forex Trading
<p>Forex economic indicators are statistical measurements traders use as fundamental tools to gain an edge around the release of high-impact news reports. They are a telltale of the economic health of a country. As such, they provide insights into the direction of its currency, which ultimately impacts forex trading.</p> <p>Released by governments and private organisations at scheduled intervals, these forex market indicators of economic health often set off significant market activity across currency pairs, averaging around 70 pips in certain cases. A UC Berkeley research paper validates that <a href="https://scholar.harvard.edu/files/fedyk/files/afedyk_newsdriventrading.pdf" target="_blank">trading volumes increase substantially</a>, though the study focused on the ten minutes following an economic news release.</p> <p>Nonetheless, traders often anticipate large price moves and position ahead of economic reports to capitalise on the increase in volatility. However, volatility carries significant risks in forex trading and can lead to depletion of a trading account without the ability to make informed trading decisions.</p> <p>To support those who want to learn forex trading with a focus on economic calendar events while also managing risk, this article explores:</p> <ul> <li>The major forex economic indicators and how they impact FX trade</li> <li>Which economic indicators matter most for specific currency pairs</li> <li>How to design effective forex trading strategies for these releases</li> <li>Lessons from the history where reports sparked volatility</li> <li>A step-by-step process for developing effective trading strategies</li> </ul> <p>Let's begin by examining the economic indicators that have the greatest impact on the forex markets.</p> <h2>Which Key Economic Indicators Impact Forex Markets Most</h2> <p>Currency markets can be sensitive to the relative country's economic data releases, with specific readings often having a substantial impact on currency trading. Understanding which important economic events impact the world of forex most is crucial for trading success.</p> <p>On the one hand, high-impact economic indicators are essential to understand in <a href="/en/trading-academy/forex/">forex trading</a>. They can affect the forex market as they supply insights into monetary policy moves. On the other hand, low-impact types of economic indicators may go unnoticed.</p> <p>One way to discover how economic indicators impact currency values is to identify market-moving events on a trading calendar. You can filter these by event, country, region, and importance, utilising the <a href="/en/economic-calendar/">ThinkMarkets forex economic calendar</a>.</p> <p><img alt="Forex Economic Calendar (ThinkMarkets)" src="/getmedia/d7747535-6e80-4824-aead-991901ac7686/Academy-Indicators-and-patterns-Forex-Economic-Indicators-High-Importance-Forex-Economic-Events-G7-ThinkMarkets-Trader-Platform-Calendar.jpg" /></p> <p style="text-align: center;">High Importance Forex Economic Events, G7, ThinkMarkets Trader Platform Calendar</p> <p>The following hierarchy is designed to help traders prioritise economic indicators that most impact the forex market, with particular attention needed for those listed on the left.</p> <p><img alt="Most Impactful Economic Data Releases" src="/getmedia/f1a60266-5f69-428c-b3f3-084b95eafbea/Academy-Indicators-and-patterns-Forex-Economic-Indicators-Most-Impactful-Economic-Data-Releases.jpg" /></p> <p style="text-align: center;">Most Impactful Economic Data Releases</p> <p>High-impact economic indicators are key data releases with the most impact on forex, which include:</p> <h3>1. Interest Rate Decisions by Central Banks</h3> <p>They are the most influential market drivers, although their impact on currency movements has diminished over the years of the high-interest-rate environment. When major central banks like the Federal Reserve (FED), European Central Bank (ECB) or Bank of England (BOE) announce policy changes, markets often react with instant volatility. A surprise rate hike typically strengthens the relative currency value as higher rates attract foreign capital. But it is not only the actual decision that moves markets. Other related events used as trading signals are:</p> <ul> <li><strong>Forward Guidance:</strong> It often presents trading opportunities as central bank members hint about future policy direction and may cause repricing of the exchange rate. Typical places for insights are the press conferences after major decision announcements.</li> <li><strong>Meeting Minutes:</strong> They might shake up markets, particularly when they reveal dissenting views or shifting sentiment among policymakers.</li> <li><strong>Interest Rate Differentials:</strong> They reveal divergence between economies' monetary policies and may create carry trade opportunities as some central banks raise or cut rates more aggressively.</li> <li><strong>Quantitative easing (QE) and tightening (QT):</strong> They may completely turn around the underlying trend, as they dictate money supply and long-term bond yield demand.</li> </ul> <h3>2. Employment Data</h3> <p>The job market often moves currency pairs, with the extent depending on the granularity of various economic conditions. If we use the US labour market as an economic indicator example, which is the biggest labour market in the world, the most important components are:</p> <ul> <li><strong>Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP):</strong> This is one of <a href="/en/trading-academy/market-events/trading-the-non-farm-payroll-nfp-report/">the most influential US datasets</a> for traders, consistently triggering volatility upon release. The headline figure, which measures the change in employed people excluding agricultural workers, acts as a crucial barometer of the world's largest economy.</li> <li><strong>Unemployment Rate:</strong> It may need to be analysed alongside the participation rate. For example, a declining unemployment rate paired with falling participation often signals that discouraged workers are dropping out rather than indicating overall economic strength.</li> <li><strong>Average Hourly Earnings:</strong> They are important as policymakers focus on wage growth as a leading indicator of inflationary pressures.</li> <li><strong>ADP private employment report, JOLTS job openings and weekly jobless claims:</strong> These also build up expectations in the days leading up to the NFP release, with jobless claims guiding expectations week in and week out.</li> </ul> <p>Remember that a strong NFP where the actual numbers substantially beat estimates typically strengthens the US dollar due to expectations of economic growth and tighter monetary policy.</p> <p>The last NFP report beat estimates by just 9,000 jobs, resulting in around 60 pips in EURUSD volatility. However, historical events on the ThinkMarkets advanced calendar shows an average range of over 70 pips. The small discrepancy of 9,000 jobs reduced the impact on the forex pair.</p> <p><img alt="Impact of NFP on EURUSD (ThinkMarkets)" src="/getmedia/60e0d82c-e25d-4d61-a767-a637c0eba08c/Academy-Indicators-and-patterns-Forex-Economic-Indicators-NFP-Produces-70-pips-on-Average-on-EURUSD.jpg" /></p> <p style="text-align: center;">NFP Produces 70 pips on Average on EURUSD</p> <div> <style type="text/css">.didyouknow { display: block; background: #F1FDf0; width: 600px; border-radius: 20px; gap: 20px; padding-top: 48px; padding-right: 40px; padding-bottom: 48px; padding-left: 40px; font-family: Figtree; font-weight: 600; font-size: 22px; line-height: 140%; letter-spacing: 0%; } </style> </div> <div class="didyouknow">Try our NFP calendar and gauge the potential for price movements <a href="https://portal.thinkmarkets.com/account/individual/">here!</a></div> <h3>3. Inflation Data</h3> <p>Inflation measures the price pressures within a country's economic performance, which often leads to speculation on forward guidance. A higher inflation print often leads to support for the currency as traders anticipate hikes or at least a hawkish stance by the bank.</p> <ul> <li><strong>Consumer Price Index (CPI):</strong> It typically draws the most attention in the world of forex trading, with headline CPI capturing cost-of-living changes, and core CPI (which excludes volatile food and energy prices) providing a signal of persistent pressures.</li> <li><strong>Producer Price Index (PPI):</strong> It measures price changes from the seller's perspective and acts as a leading indicator for CPI, as higher production costs filter through to consumer prices with a lag of several months.</li> <li>Market participants also focus on <strong>forward-looking Inflation Expectations</strong>, measured through surveys and inflation swaps, which can trigger strong FX movements when they change suddenly.</li> <li><strong>Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) Price Index:</strong> It has become the Fed's preferred inflation gauge because its methodology differs from CPI by accounting for substitution effects as consumers adjust spending patterns in response to price changes, providing what many economists consider true inflation.</li> </ul> <h3>4. Gross Domestic Product (GDP)</h3> <p>Forex economic indicators such as GDP measure economic activity, and their impact can be significant, especially when the figures deviate from forecasts.</p> <ul> <li><strong>Advance GDP estimate:</strong> It is an indicator of economic growth and provides the first glimpse of economic performance, while the <strong>Preliminary estimate</strong> follows a month later with more refined data to validate economic stability. The <strong>Final release</strong> is released another month later, but usually triggers little interest unless it shows dramatic revisions.</li> <li>Traders sift through this data for signs of economic cycle transitions. For instance, two consecutive quarters of negative economic growth may signal a <strong>recession</strong> and economic weakness. High inflation and little growth would point to<strong> stagflation</strong>, an infamously challenging environment for central banks and currency stability.</li> <li><strong>Consumer Spending</strong> is an important component, as it contributes over 70% to the growth of developed economies. Business investment figures would signal corporate confidence and future productivity growth. Government spending changes can impact currencies of countries with large public sectors, while the net exports component may influence commodity currencies and nations heavily dependent on international trade.</li> <li><strong>GDP price deflator</strong> is deemed as an inflation gauge, and quarter-on-quarter annualised growth rates can reveal emerging economic trends.</li> </ul> <p>However, not all are important forex economic indicators as they are not created equal. Some are categorised as leading or lagging, each delivering different insights into the economic performance of a country.</p> <h2>What Are Leading and Lagging Economic Indicators in Forex</h2> <p>Leading indicators act as an economic weather forecast and lagging indicators as a confirmation. Let’s take a closer look at each one.</p> <h3>Leading Economic Indicators</h3> <p>Leading economic indicators are forward–looking indicators for forex trading, as they allow traders to use them as early warnings to position themselves before major economic shifts.</p> <p><img alt="Leading Economic Indicators Forex (ThinkMarkets)" src="/getmedia/f2810c10-76b6-4275-9a7b-648ce8777c74/Academy-Indicators-and-patterns-Forex-Economic-Indicators-Lagging-Economic-Indicators.png" /></p> <p style="text-align: center;">Leading Economic Indicators in the Forex Market</p> <p><strong>Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI):</strong> It is published monthly for manufacturing and services sectors, with readings above 50 signalling positive economic expansion, while those below 50 point to contraction. They provide early insights into GDP growth, employment trends and business sentiment. When the PMI figures of a country consistently beat expectations, its currency typically strengthens as investors bet on the improving economic outlook.</p> <p><strong>Consumer Confidence Index:</strong> This index measures how optimistic consumers feel about the state of the economy. It is crucial for forex traders because consumer spending accounts for a large portion of GDP in developed economies. A high reading often means increased spending, which drives economic growth.</p> <p><strong>Building Permits and Housing Starts:</strong> They offer insights into the construction sector and broader economic activity. They tend to rise during economic booms and fall during downturns. These figures can have a big impact on currency markets for currencies like the Australian dollar, where housing plays an important role in the economy.</p> <p><strong>Retail Sales:</strong> These economic indicators include patterns of consumer spending. Upbeat numbers imply growth and could lead to currency appreciation, while poor readings might prompt traders to sell a currency on an anticipated economic slowdown.</p> <p><strong>Yield curve analysis:</strong> The yield curve is a powerful tool for gauging economic health, as inverted curves, where short-term rates climb above long-term ones, may predict a <strong>recession</strong>. However, months of lag between an inversion and the actual recession mean that it is mostly useful in long-term trading. Still, a steepening curve in one country against a flattening curve in another points to diverging interest rates that may create trading opportunities.</p> <h3>Lagging Economic Indicators</h3> <p>Lagging economic indicators play a role in confirming established trends and provide evidence of the current state of an economy. They are backward-looking indicators, often validating the leading data, which is crucial for making informed trading decisions.</p> <p><img alt="Lagging Economic Indicators Forex (ThinkMarkets)" src="/getmedia/5b2fa657-4f72-4ea0-9b5c-6f88b4212f74/Academy-Indicators-and-patterns-Forex-Economic-Indicators-lagging-indicators.png " /></p> <p style="text-align: center;">Lagging Economic Indicators in Forex</p> <p><strong>Trade Balance:</strong> A popular economic indicator in 2025, the trade balance shows the difference between a country's goods exports and imports. A surplus generally supports currency strength, while a deficit may weaken it. The market reaction depends on how the actual figures stack against expectations and the broader economic context. For export-dependent economies like Japan and Germany, the trade balance can have a direct impact on market sentiment.</p> <p><strong>Industrial Production:</strong> It helps confirm economic trends. Manufacturing output measures production, and unexpected contractions may cause currency weakness, while capacity utilisation rates provide insights into inflationary pressures. These readings may signal broader economic turns, even though industrial production accounts for a low share of developed economies.</p> <h2>Which Forex Economic Indicators Impact Currency Pairs Most</h2> <p>All traders closely monitor data from the US, the world’s largest economy, with the dollar serving as the primary reserve currency. Other country-specific indicators affect their respective currencies and provide relevant context. The table below lists data that matters to major currency pairs:</p> <p><img alt="List of Key Economic Indicators Moving Major Forex Pairs" src="/getmedia/5a8abddc-b928-41fb-a4ef-950a931fe04c/Academy-Indicators-and-patterns-Forex-Economic-Indicators-List-of-Key-Economic-Indicators-Moving-Major-Forex-Pairs.png" /></p> <p style="text-align: center;">List of Key Economic Indicators Moving Major Forex Pairs</p> <p>These relationships are not static and can evolve over time based on a mix of market sentiment, changes in macroeconomic indicators and shifting risk appetite. For example, coordinated central bank policy changes or a flight to safety may drive market dynamics in a more meaningful way. However, theory alone isn't sufficient—examining historical examples offers valuable lessons on how economic surprises can create big market reactions.</p> <h2>Examples of How Economic Indicators Impact the Forex Market</h2> <p>Traders must beware that economic events coined as “Black Swan” might trigger seismic market shifts, where liquidity dries up, leading to gaps and slippage that go beyond stop losses. Below are announcements that sparked extraordinary price movements in the past.</p> <h3>Swiss National Bank Removes Euro Peg (January 2015)</h3> <p>Probably the most dramatic policy announcement in recent forex history occurred on 15th January 2015, when the Swiss National Bank (SNB) unexpectedly abandoned its 1.20 floor on the EUR/CHF exchange rate. Within minutes, the Swiss franc soared by 30% across the board, sending USD/CHF and other CHF pairs into an abyss.</p> <p><img alt="Swiss Franc Shock (ThinkMarkets)" src="/getmedia/c66581cc-8a74-4b5e-80f8-1d7d8dfd342c/Academy-Indicators-and-patterns-Forex-Economic-Indicators-EURCHF-Crashes-30-After-Discontinuing-Euro-Peg-Jan-2015.jpg" /></p> <p style="text-align: center;">EURCHF Crashes 30% After Discontinuing Euro Peg, Jan 2015</p> <p>The result was nothing short of catastrophic as several forex brokers went bust, unable to cover their clients’ massive losses, while some major banks reported eight-figure holes on their books.</p> <p>The key lesson here is that central bank credibility and communication can dramatically impact markets, and when they act unexpectedly, the resulting volatility can have a huge potential impact on currency pairs.</p> <h3>Brexit Referendum Results (June 2016)</h3> <p>The UK's EU membership referendum on 23rd June 2016 is an example of how a political event can create exaggerated market movements based on economically motivated influences.</p> <p>As "Leave" turned out to be the surprise vote, the pound crashed by 12% in a matter of hours. In the following months, GBPUSD continued to fall as traders priced in the long-term economic implications of Brexit, showing how major economic factors can trigger not just short-term volatility but also establish multi-year trends that have yet to reverse.</p> <p><img alt="Brexit Crash (ThinkMarkets)" src="/getmedia/297a310b-3bde-430a-8ba2-046aff79c484/Academy-Indicators-and-patterns-Forex-Economic-Indicators-British-Pound-Tumbles-12-Following-Vote-to-Leave-Europe-June-2016.jpg" /></p> <p style="text-align: center;">British Pound Tumbles 12% Following Vote to Leave Europe, June 2016</p> <p>The unexpected poll shows that market consensus can be wrong, and the initial reaction may signal economic trends that are larger than anticipated, as economic ramifications are already factored in.</p> <h3>US Inflation Surprise (June 2022)</h3> <p>In June 2022, markets were rattled by a stronger-than-expected US inflation report. The May CPI came in hot at 8.6%, the highest since 1981. The reading shattered the narrative that inflation had peaked, forcing market participants to quickly reassess the Fed’s response, which resulted in an aggressive 75 basis point rate hike at its June meeting, the largest increase in nearly three decades.</p> <p>The greenback surged against all major currencies as traders priced in a more hawkish Fed and widening interest rate differentials. This episode highlighted how a single data point, when it invalidates the prevailing consensus, can serve as a catalyst for significant repricing across FX markets and future economic expectations.</p> <p>To capitalise on potential major moves while managing risks, one must develop a systematic forex strategy to trade the news.</p> <h2>Developing a Strategy for Forex Trading Economic Indicators</h2> <p>Trading forex economic news requires a systematic approach that combines preparation, the integration of technical analysis and trader discipline. Below are some simple yet effective steps to help forex traders use economic indicators to leverage opportunities:</p> <h3>Step 1: Use Economic Calendar Effectively</h3> <p>A forex economic calendar lists upcoming releases, previous readings, market forecasts and actual figures. The steps below help traders avoid being caught off guard by sudden shifts in sentiment:</p> <ul> <li>Mark out relevant high-impact events.</li> <li>Look ahead, as major forex news can influence the market days beforehand.</li> <li>Review previous figures to establish context.</li> <li>Track revisions, if possible.</li> </ul> <p>Using the ThinkMarkets calendar, you can track such events under the event chart, tracking the last five years. For example, below you can quickly visualise how many times the NFP beat economist estimates over the past year.</p> <p><img alt="How to Trade the NFP (ThinkMarkets)" src="/getmedia/902aaebb-d269-4117-a15c-ef7c8bf67ce0/Academy-Indicators-and-patterns-Forex-Economic-Indicators-NFP-Beat-Estimates-Eight-out-of-Thirteen-Times-over-the-Last-Year-June-26.jpg" /></p> <p style="text-align: center;">NFP Beat Estimates Eight out of Thirteen Times over the Last Year, June 26</p> <h3>Step 2: Perform Basic Fundamental Analysis</h3> <p>The market's reaction to economic data is often about how they are up against collective expectations. Traders need to:</p> <ul> <li>Dig into consensus, which acts as the benchmark.</li> <li>Be mindful of the “surprise factor”, which is a deviation from consensus.</li> <li>Pay attention to historical revisions (“whisper” numbers) as they can change the market's positioning.</li> <li>Remember that the market often prices in the outcome, especially for widely anticipated reports.</li> </ul> <p>Tracking the previous economic indicator example, you can adjust your expectations based on the actual figures in real time. In the image below, one can see that the last upbeat NFP ended up pushing EURUSD 12 pips lower four hours after the event. Based on 9,000 jobs added, you can make an assumption, or a guess, that every 1,000 jobs shy of estimates might move EURUSD 1.2 pips. The more events you add, the smoother your benchmark can become.</p> <p><img alt="NFP EURUSD Projection (ThinkMarkets)" src="/getmedia/00c87cba-24ec-4a34-976a-f1899b7790cf/Academy-Indicators-and-patterns-Forex-Economic-Indicators-Using-Previous-NFP-Impact-on-EURUSD-to-Project-Future-Moves.jpg" /></p> <p style="text-align: center;">Using Previous NFP Impact on EURUSD to Project Future Moves</p> <h3>Step 3. Combine with Technical Analysis</h3> <p>News often triggers breakouts as prices burst through established levels. Below are methods to trade the news using technical analysis.</p> <h4>Analyse Breakout Context</h4> <p>Breakouts occur when the price moves decisively beyond a previous range, and news is a powerful catalyst, as it can alter market perceptions. The most powerful breakouts usually occur when data substantially deviates from expectations.</p> <h4>Integrate Technical Levels</h4> <p>The most effective approach to trading economic releases involves mixing news catalysts with technical confirmation. This strategy blends <a href="/en/trading-academy/technical-analysis/fundamental-analysis/">fundamental analysis</a> with technical timing and risk management, and its steps involve:</p> <ul> <li>Map out relevant support and resistance</li> <li>Look for <a href="/en/trading-academy/technical-analysis/day-trading-chart-patterns/">chart patterns</a> (e.g. <a href="/en/trading-academy/technical-analysis/using-double-candlestick-patterns-in-day-trading/">engulfing candles</a>) that indicate momentum</li> <li>Seek confirmation from oscillators (overbought or oversold conditions)</li> <li>Spot divergences between price and indicators</li> </ul> <p>As historical barriers, horizontal support and resistance are the most straightforward levels. Traders should also pay attention to round numbers and psychological levels, such as 1.14, as seen in the NFP example on EURUSD.</p> <p>For the EURUSD NFP example, following the first 10 minutes, the 1.14 rejects bulls, with entry at 1.1410 and exit when the RSI returns from oversold territory and an <a href="/en/trading-academy/forex/using-candlestick-patterns-in-forex-day-trading/">engulfing bar</a> appears.</p> <p><img alt="NFP Trade (ThinkMarkets)" src="/getmedia/10cc7993-31ec-417c-bddc-497e270e9dce/Academy-Indicators-and-patterns-Forex-Economic-Indicators-EURUSD-NFP-Trade-Example-Support-and-Resistance-Trading.jpg" /></p> <p style="text-align: center;">EURUSD NFP Trade Example, Support and Resistance Trading</p> <p>Trendlines and moving averages act as dynamic levels. As such, it is important to identify them before data releases.</p> <p>Fibonacci retracement levels play a similar role and, when combined with the former, they form "confluence zones" where the price may react strongly.</p> <p>Finally, a multiple-timeframe analysis can be particularly helpful. A breakout on the lower timeframes of 5 to 60 minutes might be noise on the daily chart. However, if a news trigger causes a breakout across different timeframes (and pairs), the resulting move often proves to be sustainable.</p> <h3>Step 4. Manage Trader Risk During Volatile Release</h3> <p>News often triggers sharp price swings that can plough through stop losses or create significant slippage. Protecting your capital demands strict risk management, which includes:</p> <ul> <li>Reduce position sizes by 30-50% to limit losses while staying in the game.</li> <li>Use wider stop losses to take into account gaps and spikes.</li> <li>Replace actual stops with mental stops.</li> <li>Step back for at least the first 10 minutes and wait for the initial volatility to subside.</li> </ul> <p>With risks managed, the relationship between economic data and currency moves could help traders navigate forex markets more effectively during volatile releases.</p> <h2>Ready to Trade Forex Economic Indicators?</h2> <p>News trading is not about forex forecasting. It is more about being aware of economists' estimates and being prepared to start trading and managing risk.</p> <p>Understanding economic indicators and integrating them with technical analysis allows forex traders to develop their own framework for economic calendar trading. However, keep in mind that the role of forex economic indicators is to help find high-probability trading setups. Indicators provide insights into the economic health of a country, while you still need to follow a disciplined forex trading approach by:</p> <ul> <li>Creating a personalised indicator watchlist for the economic calendar week</li> <li>Filtering economic calendar news by its level of impact</li> <li>Combining forex news catalysts with technical analysis</li> <li>Keep learning and adapting the methodology to evolving market regimes</li> </ul> <p>With consistent practice and disciplined risk management, trading economic releases can become one of your most reliable strategies.</p> <div> <style type="text/css">.didyouknow { display: block; background: #F1FDf0; width: 600px; border-radius: 20px; gap: 20px; padding-top: 48px; padding-right: 40px; padding-bottom: 48px; padding-left: 40px; font-family: Figtree; font-weight: 600; font-size: 22px; line-height: 140%; letter-spacing: 0%; } </style> </div> <div class="didyouknow">Start applying these strategies with a risk-free demo account <a href="https://portal.thinkmarkets.com/account/individual/">here!</a></div>

A complete guide to reversal candlestick patterns
<p>Taking advantage of trending movements is the overall goal of every trader.<br /> <br /> As a trader, you want to position yourself on the winning side and not get caught in a reversal that will hurt your portfolio and capital. Trending movements are usually initiated with market reversals. The sooner you get on the new trend, the higher the chance you will be profitable and, the better <strong>the R:R (risk-reward) ratio</strong> will look. <br /> <br /> In this article, we will look at the definition of <strong>reversal candlestick patterns</strong>, how they work, and what the market is telling us. We will also share a simple trading strategy to demonstrate how you should take advantage of market reversals. </p> <h2>What reversal patterns show us</h2> <p>Reversal patterns are the opposite of <em>continuation candlestick patterns</em>. While the latter signal that the prevailing trend is likely to continue after a temporary pause is finished and the breakout is confirmed, reversal patterns are pointing towards an impending change in the trend direction. Also, reversal patterns need more time to form than the continuation formations as it is easier for the market to continue in the same direction than change its course. </p> <p> </p> <p>For instance, the sellers were successful in pushing the market lower up to a point where they started feeling exhausted, which provided the buyers with an opportunity to initiate a change in the trend direction. As such, they provide traders with an opportunity to initiate a new trade as the reversal will start a new trending movement.<br /> <br /> For the reversal to take place, <strong>the prerequisite is the existence of a previous trend</strong>, meaning we can’t classify a start of a new trend as a reversal if the market trades sideways prior to the reversal. You see in a photo below that the market changes the trend direction through the <a data-di-id="di-id-ac7aff17-3ac36973" href="/en/trading-academy/indicators-and-patterns/double-top-reversal-pattern/">double top</a> reversal pattern.<br /> <br /> <img alt="" src="/TMXWebsite/media/TMXWebsite/Double-top-pattern.jpg" /></p> <p>Although reversals start with a breakout, usually of <a data-di-id="di-id-c33ed1c7-4d5f22e9" href="/en/trading-academy/technical-analysis/support-resistance/">a strong resistance/support,</a> there are signs prior to that point that signal an impending change in the trend direction. While the trend is characterised by a series of the lower highs and lower lows (downtrend), or the higher highs and higher lows (uptrend), we may see signs of weaknesses in the dying stages.<br /> <br /> For example, as <a data-di-id="di-id-ac7aff17-6040b682" href="/en/trading-academy/indicators-and-patterns/head-and-shoulders-bottom/">the head and shoulders pattern</a> forms, the series of the higher highs is broken with the third peak, which comes at a lower price than the previous one. Alternatively, in the case of a double bottom, the sellers fail to push through the support by creating the equal low and not the lower low.</p> <h2>The significance of reversal patterns </h2> <p>By definition, trading reversal patterns should be more risky than trading continuation patterns, as it is safer to bet on the winning side. However, reversal patterns are considered to be more powerful since the trends tend to be the strongest in their initial phases. <br /> <br /> This is because initially one side of the market is more dominant, and therefore more successful in pushing the price into their desired direction. After some time, the balance becomes more even as the other side starts growing in the game. Finally, the change in the trend direction is taking place as the other side has now become more dominant. </p> <p> </p> <p>Therefore, the market is telling us that the overall trend is nearing the end, and the price action is likely to change its course soon. Once the signals align and the likelihood of the market changing its course is high, reversal patterns offer <strong>a great R:R ratio</strong>. <br /> <br /> The greatest limitation of reversal patterns is that you are still betting on the losing side so far. As an illustration, the buyers are in control in an uptrend. By hoping for a reversal, you are more inclined to put your faith in the sellers, which have been on the wrong side of the market so far. Thus, there is always a possibility of a market continuing in the same direction, despite signals that change is around the corner. </p> <h2>Types of reversal candlestick patterns</h2> <p>There are different forms in which the reversal can take place. We make a general distinction between the <em>bullish reversal patterns</em> and <em>bearish reversal patterns</em>. Here, we take a look at some of the most popular reversal candlestick patterns from both categories.</p> <h3>Bullish reversal candlestick patterns:</h3> <h4><strong>Double bottom </strong></h4> <p>The <strong><a data-di-id="di-id-3074e65-b7b0f7e2" href="/en/trading-academy/indicators-and-patterns/double-bottom-pattern/">double bottom</a></strong> pattern is a bullish reversal pattern that occurs at the bottom of a downtrend and signals that the sellers, who were in control of the price action so far, are losing momentum. The pattern resembles the letter <strong>W </strong>due to the two-touched low and a change in the trend direction from a downtrend to an uptrend. <br /> <br /> <img alt="" src="/TMXWebsite/media/TMXWebsite/Double-bottom-pattern.jpg" /><br /> <br /> </p> <h4><strong>Triple bottom</strong></h4> <p>As the name itself says, the <a href="/en/trading-academy/indicators-and-patterns/triple-bottom-pattern/"><strong>triple bottom</strong></a> consists of the three lows made at roughly the same price. It’s a bullish reversal pattern that can be detected at the end of a downtrend. The pattern suggests an impending change in the trend direction after the sellers failed to break the support in three consecutive attempts. <br /> <br /> <img alt="" src="/TMXWebsite/media/TMXWebsite/Triple-bottom-pattern_1.jpg" /><br /> <br /> </p> <h4><strong>Inverse head and shoulders</strong></h4> <p>The bullish version of the traditional head and shoulders pattern is called the<strong> inverse head and shoulders</strong> formation. It’s a bullish reversal pattern that can be seen at the end of a downtrend. The sellers have run out of gas as they were unable to continue the series of the lower lows, with the third low (the right shoulder) being at a higher level than the previous peak.</p> <p><img alt="" src="/TMXWebsite/media/TMXWebsite/Inverse-head-and-shoulders-pattern-(1).jpg" /><br /> <br /> After the creation of a first peak (the left shoulder), the price action rebounds modestly before continuing lower to create a lower low (the head). The price then again rebounds to a level similar to where the first rebound was finished, creating a base for the neckline to be drawn. <br /> <br /> What follows is another pullback to create a third low (the right shoulder), before the price action finally bursts higher, breaking the neckline resistance, and activating the inverse head and shoulders pattern. <br /> </p> <h2>Strengths and weaknesses</h2> <p>Both versions of the pattern share the same strengths and weaknesses, as they only differ in the context of structure. Arguably, the greatest advantage of the head and shoulders pattern is that it defines clear areas to set risk levels and profit targets. <br /> <br /> Due to its design, the pattern offers a clearly defined stop loss, take profit, and entry levels. A trader should only follow the set of rules (described below) and make sure that they don’t “jump the gun” and enter a trade before the neckline is broken. <br /> <br /> It's extremely important to stress that both the inverse and the traditional head and shoulders patterns only occur at the bottom of an uptrend or downtrend. This is a common mistake traders and analysts make. It doesn’t matter that you drew a perfect head and shoulders pattern, if there is no prior uptrend or downtrend as both versions are reversal patterns. </p> <p> </p> <p>The<strong> key limitation of the head and shoulders pattern</strong> is that a strong trend sometimes causes the price action to continue in the same direction despite the third peak/low being a lower high or higher bottom. In this case, the head and shoulders, or inverse head and shoulders, are seen as continuation patterns as the prevailing trend has resumed after taking a short break.</p> <h2 dir="ltr">Drawing the pattern</h2> <p>Unlike some other chart patterns, trading the success of the head and shoulder formation rests very much on how well you draw the initial pattern. As outlined earlier, this pattern offers a set of predefined levels, as you are actually trading <em>against the neckline</em>. Thus, drawing the pattern and identifying three key elements is the crucial part of the entire trading process. <br /> <br /> The daily chart of USD/CAD shows a head and shoulders pattern that helps reverse the direction of a trend. The price action pushes higher, creating three consecutive peaks with the right shoulder slightly lower than the left shoulder. Still, there are two clear peaks on each side of the centre peak, with a slightly ascending trend line connecting two shoulders. <br /> <br /> <img alt="" src="/TMXWebsite/media/TMXWebsite/head-and-shoulders-pic-3-(1).jpg" /><br /> <br /> You can see that we started in an aggressive uptrend and finished the pattern in a downtrend, with the bears ultimately erasing more than half of the earlier gains. A similar situation occurs with the inverse head and shoulders pattern lower.<br /> <br /> This is a NZD/USD daily chart where the sellers are pressing the price lower, creating a series of lows. The head is represented by a series of similar lows, while the two shoulders are sitting on each side of the head. Although the head usually consists of a single peak/low, we can also have rounded lows or peaks, as long as there are shoulders visible on each side of the head.<br /> <br /> You can see that we started in an aggressive uptrend and finished the pattern in a downtrend, with the bears ultimately erasing more than half of the earlier gains. A similar situation occurs with the inverse head and shoulders pattern lower.<br /> <br /> This is a NZD/USD daily chart where the sellers are pressing the price lower, creating a series of lows. The head is represented by a series of similar lows, while the two shoulders are sitting on each side of the head. Although the head usually consists of a single peak/low, we can also have rounded lows or peaks, as long as there are shoulders visible on each side of the head.<br /> <br /> <img alt="" src="/TMXWebsite/media/TMXWebsite/head-and-shoulders-pic-4-(2).jpg" /><br /> <br /> You can see that the NZD/USD pair creates a new short term low (the lowest low of the head) before pushing higher to create a series of the higher lows before eventually surging higher above the neckline.<br /> </p> <h2>Trading the head and shoulders pattern</h2> <p>We stated earlier that possibly the greatest advantage of this formation is that it offers precisely defined levels.<strong> The key is a neckline due to the three reasons:</strong></p> <p> </p> <ol> <li>A break of the neckline activates the pattern. Before the neckline is broken, we consider the pattern to still be in the making. </li> <li>A neckline defines the stop loss i.e. after the breakout, any reverse move to the other side of the neckline activates the stop loss and automatically invalidates the pattern. </li> <li>A distance between the neckline and the head is measured to calculate the take profit. </li> </ol> <p> </p> <p>We will now use the same two examples to give you a step-by-step guide on how to trade the head and shoulders and inverse head and shoulders patterns.<br /> <br /> Once we have drawn the pattern and identified three key elements of the formation, we monitor the <em>“draft”</em> pattern closely and wait for the bears to potentially break the neckline and activate the formation. There are two options for the head and shoulders pattern as far as the entry is concerned. <br /> <br /> <img alt="" src="/TMXWebsite/media/TMXWebsite/head-and-shoulders-pic-5-(1).jpg" /><br /> <br /> </p> <p>The first option offers you a chance to enter a short trade as soon as the neckline is broken and the daily candle closes below the broken neckline. This option means that you can’t miss a trade. <br /> <br /> However, this one is also riskier as this move lower can easily prove to be a failed breakdown. In this case, your stop-loss would be activated almost instantly. <br /> <br /> The second option is prefered by the majority of the trading community. It's based on an idea that you should make an entry after the price action closes below the neckline and the breakdown is confirmed. Accordingly, the buyers will then push the price action to retest the neckline, the so-called <em>“throwback”</em>, before resuming lower.</p> <p><br /> Thus, you should place the entry when the throwback occurs. Of course, the price action can still return above the neckline, however, the chances are smaller than with the first option. The limitation of the second option is that the price action can simply resume lower without performing a throwback i.e. a retest of the neckline is not guaranteed <em>(see example 2 lower)</em>.<br /> <br /> USD/CAD closed below the neckline on a daily basis, then the buyers pushed the price higher the next day, before ultimately sliding lower. From the risk-reward perspective, this is a perfect scenario as you are given the opportunity to enter a trade on the retest. </p> <p><br /> Wherever you decided to place the entry, the stop-loss should be located above the neckline. You are advised to always allow for a cushion between the stop-loss and a neckline. As you can see in our example, the buyers were able to trade briefly above the neckline before getting rejected. </p> <p dir="ltr">The take profit is calculated by measuring the distance between the head and a neckline <em>(the green line)</em>, and then copy-pasting the same trend line starting from the neckline and extending lower. This way, you define the exact point at which the head and shoulders pattern should be completed. </p> <p> </p> <p dir="ltr">Finally, <strong>our entry is at $1.2820</strong>, stop loss around $1.2860, while a take profit order is set at $1.2550. Hence, we risked 40 pips to make 270 pips, which is a phenomenal risk-reward ratio and the best evidence as to why the head and shoulders is such an effective reversal pattern. </p> <p> </p> <p dir="ltr">We now move to our second example by explaining how to trade the inverse head and shoulders. In essence, we follow the same set of rules. Once we have drawn all the key elements, we are waiting for the NZD bulls to push the price higher.<br /> <br /> <img alt="" src="/TMXWebsite/media/TMXWebsite/head-and-shoulders-pic-6-(1).jpg" /><br /> <br /> Earlier we discussed two options available to set your entry. This example belongs to the second option and it perfectly shows why this is a riskier option. As you can see, the bulls never returned to retest the broken neckline once the breakout occured. Hence, if you had opted to wait for a retest, you’d have missed the trade. <br /> <br /> By choosing the first option, you’d enter a trade once the daily close above the neckline has been secured. The stop loss is again placed below the neckline, while the blue line measures the distance for a take profit order. A few weeks later, the inverse head and shoulders pattern is completed. In this case, we risked 70 pips to gain around 200 pips, which makes a nearly 1:3 risk-reward ratio, meaning this was a very good setup from the risk tolerance perspective.</p>

A guide to trading the head and shoulders pattern
<p>The <strong>head and shoulders pattern</strong>, as well as the <strong>inverse head and shoulders formation</strong>, are two of the most popular trading formations. Although they are not so easy to identify, they are very reliable and effective patterns that offer extremely lucrative risk-reward opportunities. <br /> <br /> In this blog post, we are looking at the structure of the head and shoulders and inverse head and shoulders patterns, how to correctly draw them on the chart as well as their most effective use case. Moreover, we will be sharing tips on how to trade and make profit by trading the head and shoulders and inverse head and shoulders formations. </p> <h2>Spotting the head and shoulders pattern</h2> <p>The head and shoulders pattern is arguably the most popular reversal pattern among traders. It's called head and shoulders formation because it resembles a baseline with three peaks, with the centre peak being the highest out of the three. As such, the three tops look like a <em>‘left shoulder’</em>, <em>‘head’</em>, and a <em>‘right shoulder’</em>.<br /> <br /> Both the traditional formation - head and shoulders - and the inverse head and shoulders formations are reversal patterns. Both consist of three mandatory elements:<br /> </p> <ol> <li> <p><em><strong>Head</strong></em> - This is the highest (traditional formation) or the lowest (inverse version) peak of the formation. In both versions, the head should be at a higher/lower level compared to the two peaks on each of the sides. </p> </li> <li> <p><em><strong>Shoulders</strong></em> - Two tops sitting on both sides of the centre peak are called left and right shoulders. Ideally, they should be symmetrical i.e. at the same or near the same price level. As these are extremely difficult to identify, asymmetrical shoulders are also widely accepted, as long as the distance in two peaks is not huge. </p> </li> <li> <p><em><strong>Neckline</strong></em> - A trend line that connects bottoms of the two shoulders is called a neckline. It's arguably the most important feature of the pattern as its break activates the pattern. </p> </li> </ol> <p> </p> <p>The key difference between the <em>traditional version</em> and the<em> inverse formation</em> is that they occur at the<em> opposite sides of the chart</em>. A head and shoulders pattern is a<strong> bearish</strong> reversal pattern, which signals that the uptrend has peaked, and the reversal has started as the series of the higher highs (the first and second peak) is broken with the third peak, which is lower than the second.<br /> <br /> <img alt="" src="/TMXWebsite/media/TMXWebsite/traditional-head-and-shoulders-pattern.jpg" /><br /> <br /> </p> <p>As you can see in the picture above, the traditional formation starts in an uptrend and ends in a downtrend. As such, head and shoulders signals a top (the second peak) of the current uptrend. A break of the neckline activates the pattern and makes the entire setup tradeable. <br /> <br /> On the other hand, the inverse head and shoulders is a <strong>bullish</strong> reversal pattern that occurs at the end of a downtrend. The sellers have run out of gas as they were unable to continue the series of the lower lows. The third low (the right shoulder) is at a higher level than the previous peak. </p> <p><br /> <img alt="" src="/TMXWebsite/media/TMXWebsite/Inverse-head-and-shoulders-pattern.jpg" /><br /> After the creation of a first peak (the left shoulder), the price action rebounds modestly before continuing lower to create a lower low (the head). The price then again rebounds to a level similar to where the first rebound was finished, creating a base for the neckline to be drawn. <br /> <br /> What follows is another pullback to create a third low (the right shoulder), before the price action finally bursts higher, breaking the neckline resistance, and activating the inverse head and shoulders pattern. <br /> </p> <h2>Strengths and weaknesses</h2> <p>Both versions of the pattern share the same strengths and weaknesses, as they only differ in the context of structure. Arguably, the greatest advantage of the head and shoulders pattern is that it defines clear areas to set risk levels and profit targets. <br /> <br /> Due to its design, the pattern offers a clearly defined<a href="https://www.thinkmarkets.com/en/learn-to-trade/intermediate/stop-losses-and-take-profits/"> stop loss, take profit,</a> and entry levels. A trader should only follow the set of rules (described below) and make sure that they don’t “jump the gun” and enter a trade before the neckline is broken. <br /> <br /> It's extremely important to stress that both the inverse and the traditional head and shoulders patterns only occur at the bottom of an uptrend or downtrend. This is a common mistake traders and analysts make. It doesn’t matter that you drew a perfect head and shoulders pattern, if there is no prior uptrend or downtrend as both versions are reversal patterns. </p> <p> </p> <p>The<strong> key limitation of the head and shoulders pattern</strong> is that a strong trend sometimes causes the price action to continue in the same direction despite the third peak/low being a lower high or higher bottom. In this case, the head and shoulders, or inverse head and shoulders, are seen as continuation patterns as the prevailing trend has resumed after taking a short break.</p> <h2 dir="ltr">Drawing the pattern</h2> <p>Unlike some other chart patterns, trading the success of the head and shoulder formation rests very much on how well you draw the initial pattern. As outlined earlier, this pattern offers a set of predefined levels, as you are actually trading <em>against the neckline</em>. Thus, drawing the pattern and identifying three key elements is the crucial part of the entire trading process. <br /> <br /> The daily chart of USD/CAD shows a head and shoulders pattern that helps reverse the direction of a trend. The price action pushes higher, creating three consecutive peaks with the right shoulder slightly lower than the left shoulder. Still, there are two clear peaks on each side of the centre peak, with a slightly ascending trend line connecting two shoulders. <br /> <br /> <img alt="" src="/TMXWebsite/media/TMXWebsite/head-and-shoulders-pic-3.jpg" /><br /> <br /> You can see that we started in an aggressive uptrend and finished the pattern in a downtrend, with the bears ultimately erasing more than half of the earlier gains. A similar situation occurs with the inverse head and shoulders pattern lower.<br /> <br /> This is a NZD/USD daily chart where the sellers are pressing the price lower, creating a series of lows. The head is represented by a series of similar lows, while the two shoulders are sitting on each side of the head. Although the head usually consists of a single peak/low, we can also have rounded lows or peaks, as long as there are shoulders visible on each side of the head.<br /> <br /> <img alt="" src="/TMXWebsite/media/TMXWebsite/head-and-shoulders-pic-4.jpg" /><br /> <br /> You can see that the NZD/USD pair creates a new short term low (the lowest low of the head) before pushing higher to create a series of the higher lows before eventually surging higher above the neckline. <br /> <br /> </p> <h2>Trading the head and shoulders pattern</h2> <p>We stated earlier that possibly the greatest advantage of this formation is that it offers precisely defined levels.<strong> The key is a neckline due to the three reasons:</strong></p> <p> </p> <ol> <li>A break of the neckline activates the pattern. Before the neckline is broken, we consider the pattern to still be in the making. </li> <li>A neckline defines the stop loss i.e. after the breakout, any reverse move to the other side of the neckline activates the stop loss and automatically invalidates the pattern. </li> <li>A distance between the neckline and the head is measured to calculate the take profit. </li> </ol> <p> </p> <p>We will now use the same two examples to give you a step-by-step guide on how to trade the head and shoulders and inverse head and shoulders patterns.<br /> <br /> Once we have drawn the pattern and identified three key elements of the formation, we monitor the <em>“draft”</em> pattern closely and wait for the bears to potentially break the neckline and activate the formation. There are two options for the head and shoulders pattern as far as the entry is concerned. <br /> <br /> <img alt="" src="/TMXWebsite/media/TMXWebsite/head-and-shoulders-pic-5.jpg" /><br /> <br /> </p> <p>The first option offers you a chance to enter a short trade as soon as the neckline is broken and the daily candle closes below the broken neckline. This option means that you can’t miss a trade. <br /> <br /> However, this one is also riskier as this move lower can easily prove to be a failed breakdown. In this case, your stop-loss would be activated almost instantly. <br /> <br /> The second option is prefered by the majority of the trading community. It's based on an idea that you should make an entry after the price action closes below the neckline and the breakdown is confirmed. Accordingly, the buyers will then push the price action to retest the neckline, the so-called <em>“throwback”</em>, before resuming lower.</p> <p><br /> Thus, you should place the entry when the throwback occurs. Of course, the price action can still return above the neckline, however, the chances are smaller than with the first option. The limitation of the second option is that the price action can simply resume lower without performing a throwback i.e. a retest of the neckline is not guaranteed <em>(see example 2 lower)</em>.<br /> <br /> USD/CAD closed below the neckline on a daily basis, then the buyers pushed the price higher the next day, before ultimately sliding lower. From the risk-reward perspective, this is a perfect scenario as you are given the opportunity to enter a trade on the retest. </p> <p><br /> Wherever you decided to place the entry, the stop-loss should be located above the neckline. You are advised to always allow for a cushion between the stop-loss and a neckline. As you can see in our example, the buyers were able to trade briefly above the neckline before getting rejected. </p> <p dir="ltr">The take profit is calculated by measuring the distance between the head and a neckline <em>(the green line)</em>, and then copy-pasting the same trend line starting from the neckline and extending lower. This way, you define the exact point at which the head and shoulders pattern should be completed. </p> <p> </p> <p dir="ltr">Finally, <strong>our entry is at $1.2820</strong>, stop loss around $1.2860, while a take profit order is set at $1.2550. Hence, we risked 40 pips to make 270 pips, which is a phenomenal risk-reward ratio and the best evidence as to why the head and shoulders is such an effective reversal pattern. </p> <p> </p> <p dir="ltr">We now move to our second example by explaining how to trade the inverse head and shoulders. In essence, we follow the same set of rules. Once we have drawn all the key elements, we are waiting for the NZD bulls to push the price higher.<br /> <br /> <img alt="" src="/TMXWebsite/media/TMXWebsite/head-and-shoulders-pic-6.jpg" /><br /> <br /> Earlier we discussed two options available to set your entry. This example belongs to the second option and it perfectly shows why this is a riskier option. As you can see, the bulls never returned to retest the broken neckline once the breakout occured. Hence, if you had opted to wait for a retest, you’d have missed the trade. <br /> <br /> By choosing the first option, you’d enter a trade once the daily close above the neckline has been secured. The stop loss is again placed below the neckline, while the blue line measures the distance for a take profit order. A few weeks later, the inverse head and shoulders pattern is completed. In this case, we risked 70 pips to gain around 200 pips, which makes a nearly 1:3 risk-reward ratio, meaning this was a very good setup from the risk tolerance perspective.<br /> </p>

How to Use the DeMarker Indicator
<p>The <strong>DeMarker</strong> indicator, better known as <em>DeM</em>, is a technical indicator that measures the demand for the underlying asset. It was named after a prominent technical analyst <em>Thomas DeMark</em> who created the indicator. <br /> <br /> In this blog post, we will provide you with all the necessary information on the DeMarker indicator, how to identify potential changes in the trend direction, and share tips on how to incorporate the DeMarker indicator in your daily trading routine.<br /> <br /> Applying the DeMarker indicator into the <a data-di-id="di-id-1bc62d1f-8ec6ac8f" href="/en/metatrader5">MetaTrader5 (MT5) trading platform</a> is quite easy. Simply choose the indicator from the drop-down menu under indicators > Oscillators > DeMarker.<br /> <br /> <img alt="" src="/TMXWebsite/media/TMXWebsite/DeMarker-Image-1.jpg" /><br /> <br /> </p> <h2>What it looks like</h2> <p>DeM compares the most recent maximum and minimum prices to the previous period's equivalent price. In essence, the indicator generates values to help you identify <em>the directional bias of the market</em>, and potential changes in the trend direction. Unlike some other oscillators, DeMarker consists of a single fluctuating curve.<br /> <br /> As it belongs to the family of <em>oscillators</em>, DeMarker generates values from 0 to 1, although some variants of the indicator have a 100 and -100 scale. In the standard setting, values closer to 0 show an extreme oversold condition while readings closer to 1 read extreme overbought market conditions.</p> <p> </p> <p>In this setting, which is a default setting on MT4, the base value is 0.5, while the default time span for the calculation of values is 14 periods.<br /> <br /> The default setting has overbought and oversold lines set at 0.7 and 0.3, respectively. When the reading stays in between these two levels, DeM indicates that the market is likely trading sideways and implies lower volatility. <br /> <br /> On the other hand, trips above 0.7 and below 0.3 indicate a more trending market. The closer the value gets to 0 or 1, the higher the change of a price turn as the market is trading in an extreme environment. </p> <p><br /> <img alt="" src="/TMXWebsite/media/TMXWebsite/DeMarker-Image-2.jpg" /><br /> </p> <p>DeM works in a similar fashion as the Relative Strength Index (RSI), the leading oscillator indicator. However, DeM focuses on intra-period maximum recorded highs and lows, rather than closing levels. <br /> <br /> DeMarker values are calculated by the following formula:<br /> <br /> DEM = SMA(DeMMAX) [SMA(DeMMAX) + SMA(DeMMIN)], where:<br /> <br /> DEM stands for DeMarker<br /> </p> <ul> <li><strong>DeMMAX</strong> - records the difference between the current high and previous high over the number of X periods</li> <li><strong>DeMMIN</strong> - records the difference between the current low and previous low over the number of X periods</li> </ul> <p> </p> <p>You may want to try trading using the MetaTrader 5 platform to get more familiar with the DeMarker indicator and how it’s best used, before you can start using its signals in your daily trading routine.</p> <h2>Strengths and Weaknesses of This Indicator</h2> The main advantage of the DeM indicator is its reliability. DeMarker is probably less prone to distortions, compared to some other movement indicators. The indicator’s most important use case is informing the trader of an imminent change in the price direction, and hence offering a chance to capitalise on probable imminent price trends.<br /> <br /> Moreover, DeM is used by traders to identify market tops and bottoms, assess the volatility and associated risk, and most importantly, to inform us when the market trades in the overbought and oversold market conditions. <br /> <br /> On the other hand, DeMarker shares the same weakness with other oscillators. Despite the fact that its readings are showing an overbought or oversold market, these readings can always get to more extreme levels. <p>For instance, if USD/JPY trades in an uptrend and DeM current value is 0.75, it signals that the market is overbought and a change in the trend direction is likely. However, USD/JPY may gain additional 200 pips and push DeM into 0.9, for instance, before <strong>starting to reverse</strong>. <br /> <br /> Thus, signals from DeMarker are <strong>not enough to predict a reversal</strong>. For this reason, it is often used in combination with other technical indicators.</p> <h2>How to use DeMarker in trading</h2> <p dir="ltr">In essence, the DeMarker is a <em>contrarian technical indicator</em>. As we outlined earlier, it works to identify overbought and oversold market conditions, pointing towards potential changes in the price direction. </p> <p dir="ltr"> </p> <p>Thus, we are now deploying the DeMarker indicator to identify potential price levels where a change in the price direction may occur soon. Here we have a<strong> USD/JPY</strong> daily <strong>chart</strong> that trades in a downtrend as the price action has been creating a series of the lower highs and lower lows. <br /> <br /> <img alt="" src="/TMXWebsite/media/TMXWebsite/DeMarker-Image-3.jpg" /><br /> <br /> </p> <p>As noted earlier, DeM is best used in combination with other technical indicators. For this reason, we have the Fibonacci extensions deployed to identify support levels where the sellers may hit an impasse, providing the buyers with an opportunity to drive the price action higher. <br /> <br /> The blue arrow shows the moment the price action touches the 127.2% Fibonacci extension support, signalling that the buyers are likely to step in at this price level, and drive the price higher. In addition, the sellers are likely to exit their profitable trades at this point as well. <br /> <br /> In the meantime, we see that DeMarker has a reading of 0.277, which shows that the market has entered an oversold territory. At this moment, we have a confluence of two bullish signals - market is oversold according to DeMarker, and the price action has approached the first Fibonacci extension support. <br /> <br /> Hence, this strategy is based on deploying additional indicators, alongside DeMarker, to identify spots where the price action may start reversing. <br /> <br /> Entry should be placed at the point where 127.2% is first touched, while stop-loss is located around 40-50 pips below this level to protect against whipsaw losses resulting from knee-jerk market reactions. <br /> <br /> Take profit is set at the starting point of the Fibonacci extension i.e. where the big horizontal support is located. From this point, the market had started moving higher, before the bears erased all gains and pushed the price action below this important support level. <br /> <br /> Our assumption is that the market will want to return to the “crime scene” and retest the same level, but now in the context of resistance. This is what eventually happens and our trade is finally closed. We managed to bank in around 200 pips, while risking 50 or pips or less. This is a great risk-reward ratio.<br /> <br /> This example shows how to mix DeMarker with other technical tools. You may want to <a data-di-id="di-id-e6b992d-78cec0b5" href="https://portal.thinkmarkets.com/account/individual/demo">open a open a demo account</a>, and start using this simple, but effective trading strategy. </p> <h2>Summary</h2> <p>The <strong>DeMarker</strong> indicator, or DeM, is a <em>technical tool</em> deployed by traders to measure the demand for the underlying asset. As an oscillator, it generates values from 0 to 1, where value of 0.7 or higher shows an overbought market while readings of 0.3 or below signal that the market is oversold and change in the price direction is imminent.<br /> <br /> DeM is designed to compare <em>the most recent maximum and minimum prices</em> to the previous period's equivalent price. This way, DeMarker helps you identify the directional bias of the market and potential changes in the trend direction. As other technical indicators, it is best used in combination with other tools.</p>

How to Trade the Bull Pennant Pattern
<p>The <strong>bull pennant </strong>is a <em>bullish</em> continuation pattern that signals the extension of the uptrend after the period of consolidation is over.</p> <p> </p> <p>Unlike the flag where the price action consolidates within the two parallel lines, the pennant uses two converging lines for consolidation until the breakout occurs. <br /> <br /> As you will see from our example below, <em>trading the pennants is a very similar process to trading flags</em>. In this blog post we look at what a bull pennant is, its structure, strengths and weaknesses. At a later stage we will also share tips on how to trade a bull pennant and make profit. </p> <h2>What the bull pennant shows us</h2> <p>The bullish pennant is very similar to a bullish flag. Both consist of two phases: a <em>strong uptrend</em> and <em>consolidation</em>. However, the latter phase takes the form of a wedge or triangle in the case of the pennant, unlike the flag where we have a channel. <br /> <br /> The consolidation phase must stem from an uptrend, otherwise it’s just a normal triangle. Hence, the move higher is classified as flagpole, with a pennant coming on top of it. <br /> <br /> Following the establishment of a short-term peak, the price action starts to consolidate below the highs. Two converging lines connect the higher lows and the lower highs, until these two intersect. In this case, the breakout must take place, unlike the bull flag where the consolidation within the two parallel lines can take much longer.</p> <p> </p> <p><img alt="Bullish pennant - an illustration" src="/TMXWebsite/media/TMXWebsite/Bull-Pennant-image-1.jpg" /></p> <p> </p> <p><strong>Similar to flags, both the bull and bear pennants consist of three main elements: </strong></p> <p> </p> <ul> <li><strong>The flagpole</strong> - the asset’s price must trade higher in a series of the higher highs and higher lows;</li> <li><strong>Pennant</strong> - a consolidation phase takes place between the two converging lines;</li> <li><strong>A breakout</strong> - a break of the upper trend line activates the pattern, while a break of the supporting line invalidates the formation.</li> </ul> <p><br /> As not one market move happens in a straight vertical fashion, the dominating side must play a tactical game and take breaks between the aggressive moves. Hence, the buyers want to consolidate their recent gains and allow for a minor correction lower. After a temporary pause, the price tends to breakout in an explosive manner. <br /> <br /> Similar to a bull flag, the consolidation phase shouldn’t surpass the 50% <a data-di-id="di-id-5e4c19cf-b9dbef8f" href="/en/trading-academy/forex/analysis-fibonacci-ratios">Fibonacci retracement</a> of the prior leg higher (the flagpole). A pullback that extends below 50% signals that the uptrend is not as strong as it should be. Hence, a strong bull pennant corrects to around 38.2% before breaking the upper trend line.</p> <h2>Strengths and weaknesses</h2> <p>The bullish pennant is <em>a continuation pattern</em> as it tends to help the existing uptrend extend higher. In essence, the pennant helps traders identify the stage at which the trend is currently in. Therefore, it is much easier to trade the pennant, as trading levels are precisely defined by the two converging lines and a flagpole.<br /> <br /> A formation that checks all three boxes <em>(flagpole, a pennant, and a breakout)</em> with a correction ending at around 38.2% is a textbook bullish pennant pattern. The shorter and milder the correction, the stronger the uptrend and the ultimate breakout usually is. <br /> <br /> Pennants share the same weakness with flags, as the prolonged consolidation phase can result in a reversal pattern. For this reason, it is important not to enter the trade before the breakout occurs and to always consult other technical indicators in confirming the breakout.</p> <h2>Spotting the bull pennant pattern</h2> <p>As a continuation pattern, the key in spotting the bull pennant lies in <strong>identifying a clean uptrend first.</strong> The uptrend is defined as a series of the higher highs and higher lows. If the consolidation then takes the form of a pennant, we must be ready to dip into the market as soon as the breakout occurs. <br /> <br /> We see one example in the EUR/USD hourly chart below. The buyers are forcing the price movements higher in a very aggressive manner. After the short-term peak is in place, the price action starts correcting mildly lower. You can see that the form of this correction is triangular, meaning that EUR/USD created a few lower highs and higher lows.</p> <p> </p> <p><img alt="Spotting the bull pennant pattern" src="/TMXWebsite/media/TMXWebsite/Bull-Pennant-image-2.jpg" /></p> <p> </p> <p>This is a textbook bull pennant chart formation. As the uptrend is strong, the temporary pause is rather short and the bulls are full of confidence and eager to extend the trend higher.</p> <p> </p> <p>Just a few hours after the consolidation had started, it actually ended with a powerful bullish candle that burst through the upper line.</p> <h2>Trading the bull pennant pattern</h2> <p>We noted earlier that a trader is advised to wait for a breakout to take place before entering the long trade. This is advised to protect yourself from a potential reversal, as consolidation may result in the change of a trend direction, rather than a continuation. Hence, the pennant chart pattern is in “draft” mode until the breakout takes place. </p> <p> </p> <p><img alt="trading the bull pennant pattern" src="/TMXWebsite/media/TMXWebsite/Bull-Pennant-image-3.jpg" /></p> <p> </p> <p>As is the case with all candlestick chart patterns, we have two options for an entry. You can open a trade as soon as the breakout candle closes above the upper line of the pennant i.e. the close is confirmed. Contrary, you can eventually opt to wait for a throwback, when the price action returns to the “<em>crime scene</em>” to retest the broken pennant. <br /> <br /> The latter offers a great risk-reward since the entry is at a lower price and the stop loss is very close to the entry, hence, you are risking very few pips. The former makes sure that you don’t miss out on a trade as there are no guarantees that a throwback may take place at all. <br /> <br /> As you can see from the EUR/USD chart above, <strong>the throwback never took place,</strong> which is not surprising given the overall strength of the initial uptrend. The buyers simply forced a breakout and never looked back. As a matter of fact, they created ten consecutive bullish candles on an hourly chart. </p> <p> </p> <p>The first option is more secure and we take it. The entry is placed at a price where the breakout closes, while <a data-di-id="di-id-5178dce0-956ef5d7" href="/en/trading-academy/cfds/risk-management-tools-in-cfd-trading">the stop loss</a> is located just below the breakout candle and the wedge. In general, the stop loss is located below the upper line - the resistance - however, the triangle in this case is very narrow as two trend lines have almost intersected when the breakout took place. <br /> <br /> Take profit is defined by copy-pasting the flagpole, from a point of the breakout (the diagonal trend line). The end point of the trend line signals a level where the bull pennant pattern is completed. A couple of hours since we entered the trade, our take profit order is activated. We completed a trade with a gain of 120 pips, compared to the 30 pips that we risked, <strong>which translates into a phenomenal 1:4 risk-reward ratio.</strong></p>

The ascending triangle candlestick chart pattern
The ascending triangle is a bullish candlestick chart pattern that occurs in a mid-trend and signals a likely continuation of the overall trend. It’s one of the most common chart patterns as it’s quite easy to form - consisting of two simple trend lines. <br /> <br /> The price action temporarily pauses the uptrend as buyers are consolidating. This pause is marked with higher lows pushing for a breakout to the upside, which then activates the pattern.<br /> <br /> In this blog post we will discuss how the ascending triangle is formed, what the message that the market sends is, and share tips on a simple but effective trading strategy based on ascending triangles. <h2>What the ascending triangle shows us</h2> <p>The ascending trend line chart pattern is a<em> bullish formation</em>. It signals that the market is consolidating after an uptrend, with the buyers still in control. The occurrence of the higher lows is pointing toward a likely breakout as the wedge narrows down.</p> <p> </p> <p><img alt="ascending triangle - an illustration" src="/TMXWebsite/media/TMXWebsite/the-Ascending-Triangle-pattern-pic-1.jpg" /></p> <p> </p> <p> </p> <p><strong>There are three key features of an ascending triangle:</strong><br /> </p> <ul> <li><strong>Strong trend</strong> - In order for the ascending triangle to exist in the first place, the price action must stem from a clear uptrend;</li> <li><strong>Temporary pause</strong> - This element refers to the consolidation phase, which will help the buyers consolidate their strength;</li> <li><strong>Breakout</strong> - The break of the upper flat line marks the breakout, which activates the pattern. It also helps us determine the entry, take profit, and stop loss at a later stage.</li> </ul> <p><br /> Bullish continuation patterns can assume different forms - triangles, flags, pennants etc. The ascending triangle is one of the most common formations in this area, as it practically consists of two converging trend lines. <br /> <br /> As a continuation pattern, the ascending triangle is based on the idea that the likelihood of the trend continuing in the same direction is higher than the chance of a reversal taking place. The bulls are in full control of the price action, as they have been successful in pushing the market higher. <br /> <br /> At one point, the consolidation phase starts, which gives the buyers breathing space as they regroup for another push higher. These temporary pauses can take different forms, with the ascending triangle being one of them. <br /> <br /> From this perspective, it’s logical that the side that has been in control so far has a higher chance of winning the upcoming matches than the side that has been on the losing side. The period of consolidation ends once there is a confirmed breakout in the direction of a previous trend.</p> <h2>Strengths and weaknesses</h2> <p>As outlined earlier, the continuation of an uptrend takes a specific form. This form, in this case the ascending triangle, helps us define the trading environment. On one hand, a break of the upper trend line signals the continuation of the bullish trend. <br /> <br /> On the other, a move below the supporting line breaks the series of the higher highs and invalidates the entire pattern. In this case, the followup is usually a strong move lower as the buyers missed their chance to continue the uptrend. <br /> <br /> Thus, this is the main strength of the ascending triangle - it helps the uptrend to extend. Due to the existence of two trend lines, we are in a better position to determine the take profit and stop loss, if the pattern is activated.</p> <p> </p> <p>The biggest limitation of the bullish triangle, as it’s the case with other types of triangle, is a false breakout. The price action may move above the resistance line, just to return below, and hit a stop loss. In order to minimise the chance of a failed breakout, it’s always advised to consult other technical indicators and confirm the breakout e.g. volume, RSI etc. <br /> <br /> Moreover, consolidation of power takes place as the two lines converge. The narrower the wedge gets, the stronger the breakout usually is. Hence, this amount of power and strength can’t always be controlled, and therefore, it may end up in the price exploding in the opposite direction, although the chances of a continuation of the existing trend are always higher.</p> <h2>Spotting the ascending triangle</h2> <p>As said earlier, the ascending triangle is a bullish formation that occurs in a mid-trend. In the chart below, we can see how the ascending triangle looks in the live market. From an existing uptrend, the price action extends higher through the bullish triangle. <br /> <br /> Two trend lines are drawn to connect the highs and lows, with the latter closing in on the former. When the two lines get closer to one another, the likelihood of a breakout increases. Finally, the USD/CHF buyers are able to push the market outside of the consolidation phase in a clear and strong breakout.</p> <p> </p> <p><img alt="the ascending triangle on USD/CHF hourly chart" src="/TMXWebsite/media/TMXWebsite/the-Ascending-Triangle-pattern-pic-2.jpg" /><br /> <br /> As you can see in the chart above, the upper line is not exactly flat. In general, it’s extremely rare to see the upper trend line completely flat, as we will almost always see mild bias toward one or the other side. As long as the resistance line is close to being a flat one, it’s generally acceptable.</p> <h2>Trading the ascending triangle</h2> <p>Using the same example, we will now showcase how to trade the ascending triangle. As soon as there is a breakout, which is confirmed with a close above the resistance line, we may consider entering the market on the long side. As with every <a href="/en/trading-academy/forex/japanese-candlesticks">candlestick pattern</a>, we have two options for the entry - immediately after the breakout candle closes, or waiting for a potential throwback.<br /> <br /> The black horizontal line reflects our entry position - the breakout H1 candle close. The stop loss is placed within a triangle, as any move below the upper line will invalidate the pattern. As always, make sure you leave some space to allow for a potential retest of the broken trend line. </p> <p> </p> <p><img alt="trading the ascending triangle on USD/CHF hourly chart" src="/TMXWebsite/media/TMXWebsite/the-ascending-triangle-pattern-pic-3.jpg" /></p> <p> </p> <p>The blue vertical trend line is a copy of the distance when the triangle was first formed - when two trend lines were identified. The upper end of the trend line tells us where we should consider taking our profits off the table i.e. where the ascending triangle pattern is completed. <br /> <br /> In the end, the market completed the bullish triangle formation and rotated lower. This example shows how profitable ascending triangles can be, as we risked 15 pips to make nearly 100 pips - a R:R ratio of more than 1:6.<br /> <br /> Remember, the ascending triangle helps us format the price action and identify trade details - entry, stop loss, and take profit.</p>

Triple Top Candlestick Pattern Trading Strategy
The triple top is a bearish candlestick pattern that occurs at the end of an uptrend. As a reversal pattern, the triple top formation suggests a likely change in the trend direction, after the buyers failed to clear the horizontal resistance in three consecutive attempts, the scenario opposite of the triple bottom pattern. <br /> <br /> In this blog post, we look at the structure of the triple top chart pattern and what the market tells us through this formation. We are also sharing tips on the simple triple top trading strategy that will help you make profits. <h2><br /> What the pattern tells us </h2> <br /> The triple top pattern is quite a straightforward formation. It consists of three consecutive highs/tops recorded at, or near, the same level. For this chart pattern to take place in the first place, the price action has to trade in a clear uptrend.<br /> <br /> Given that it requires three peaks to be created, it’s almost impossible to find a perfect triple top pattern where both the horizontal resistance and the neckline are perfectly horizontal. Therefore, allow some space for a neckline to be bent, or one of the peaks printing mostly below or above the horizontal resistance. <br /> <br /> <strong>These are the three mandatory elements for the triple top pattern to take place:</strong> <ul> <li><strong>An uptrend</strong> - the asset’s price must trade higher in a series of the higher highs and higher lows.</li> <li><strong>Horizontal resistance</strong> - a trend line connecting three roughly equal highs.</li> <li><strong>A neckline</strong> - a trend line that connects lows in between three peaks, and whose break signals the activation of the formation.</li> </ul> <p> </p> <p><img alt="a triple top chart pattern illustration" src="/TMXWebsite/media/TMXWebsite/Triple-Top-Image-1.jpg" /></p> <p> </p> <p>The occurrence of the triple top pattern signals a strong uptrend. The bulls must have been in a really positive momentum when one found enough power and strength to test the horizontal resistance three times in a row. In most cases, the price action reverses after the second failure.<br /> <br /> Therefore, the triple top pattern is used as a tool to change the trend direction. The buyers had been long in control, making gains in an uptrend. After a period of the bulls’ dominance, which is likely to end after the three failed attempts to clear resistance, the sellers start growing in the game, threatening to reverse a trend of the price action. <br /> <br /> After the third unsuccessful failed attempt to break the resistance, the probability of the neckline break increases. Once it occurs, the triple top pattern is activated. For this reason, the neckline is arguably the most important element of the triple top pattern, as its break activates the pattern and then helps us determine the stop loss and take profit levels. </p> <h2>Strengths and weaknesses</h2> Due to its design, the triple top pattern is a rare, but a very powerful pattern. The fact that the buyers failed in as many as three successive attempts to break higher makes the reversal extremely powerful. These failures make them feel exhausted and vulnerable, which presents an opportunity to sellers to erase earlier gains of the opposite side. <br /> <br /> The triple top pattern occurs less frequently than the double top, as there is one peak less to happen. It also reduces the chances of a breakout as the buyers are left with no energy after the third failure. <br /> <br /> On the other hand, the fact that it is a rare chart formation is also its biggest weakness. For instance, you would need to spend some time on a chart before you can identify a clean triple top pattern that meets all the required criteria. <h2>Spotting the triple top pattern</h2> <p>Remember, the triple top is a bearish reversal pattern that stems from an uptrend. In the chart below, we have a USD/CAD on a 4H chart moving aggressively higher on the left side of the chart.<br /> <br /> The price action then hits a $1.29 horizontal resistance and fails to clear it, causing the first bigger correction since the trend was initiated. The buyers use this correction to regroup and regain confidence and launch another assault at the same level, but again without much success.<br /> <br /> What follows are multiple attempts to get to the $1.29 level again, with choppy action recorded in the $1.28s, just before the third peak. After another correction lower, the buyers press the price action once again, trading briefly above $1.2910 and then correcting lower.</p> <p> </p> <p><img alt="USD/CAD H4 chart - Spotting the triple top pattern" src="/TMXWebsite/media/TMXWebsite/Triple-Top-Image-2.jpg" /><br /> <br /> This example shows how powerful triple tops could prove to be. In addition to multiple attempts to clear this resistance, the third attempt resulted in a bearish <a href="/en/trading-academy/forex/japanese-candlesticks">candlestick pattern</a><a href="/en/trading-academy/forex/japanese-candlesticks"> </a>that just invited additional selling pressure. All these failures were simply too much to handle for the bulls, who finally gave up and let the bears erase all previous gains in a quick manner.</p> <p> </p> <p>It is really difficult to wait for the perfect triple top pattern. They are rare, and even when identified, you have to leave some space for certain deficiencies to be present e.g. a bent neckline or unequal highs/peaks.</p> <h2>Trading the triple top pattern</h2> <p>All in all, we take a note of the three mandatory elements of the triple top pattern - an uptrend, three failures, and a break of the neckline that activated the pattern and opened the door for us to get into the market. <br /> <br /> As with every other candlestick pattern, <strong>there are two options for an entry:</strong> <br /> </p> <ol> <li> <p>after the breakout candle closes below the neckline</p> </li> <li> <p>waiting for a retest of the broken neckline.</p> </li> </ol> <p>In this particular example, both options are eventually on the table. For whichever of these two you would have chosen, your entry would have been the same. The stop-loss order is placed above the neckline, allowing some space for a potential retest of the neckline from a downside.<br /> <br /> <img alt="USD/JPY H4 chart - Trading the triple top pattern" src="/TMXWebsite/media/TMXWebsite/Triple-Top-Image-3.jpg" /> </p> <p>The vertical blue measures the distance between the neckline and the horizontal resistance. A simple copy-paste from the point of a breakout gives you a measured take-profit level, which if hit, marks the completion of the triple top pattern. <br /> <br /> As you can see from the chart, the price action first came close to hitting the take profit, but reversed and returned higher for a retest of the neckline. Finally, our profit-taking level has been hit, booking us more than 280 pips. On the other hand, we risked just 30 pips, hence making this setup a perfect trade from the risk-reward perspective.</p>
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How does the Money Flow Index (MFI) indicator work?
<p>If you are looking to find the demand for a financial asset, you need to be able to track monetary flows in and out of the markets.<br /> <br /> The<strong> Money Flow Index (MFI) indicator</strong> is used to measure supply and demand, which is usually the simplest way to determine where a market may be going.<br /> <br /> Note that this indicator was initially designed to work with the stock markets, as forex markets are not centralised, and therefore some of the inputs will be different to the original scenarios many traders had been using in equities.<br /> <br /> The basic premise is that if demand for a particular currency is high but supply is limited, prices will rise as bidding increases.<br /> <br /> This is the same as any other bidding process: if there are more people wanting to own something, people will try to outbid each other.<br /> <br /> Of course, the opposite is true as well: when demand drops, sellers have to drop prices to attract buyers. The Money Flow Index indicator is a popular method of viewing how these forces interact with the markets.</p> <h2>The calculation</h2> <p>The indicator uses a couple of different mathematical equations in order to find where the market may be ready to go.<br /> <br /> The equation seeks to find the ‘Typical Price’ by determining in the mean of the high, the low, and the closing prices for the time period in question.<br /> <br /> In mathematical notation:<br /> <strong>TP = (H+L+C) / 3</strong><br /> I.e. <u>the Typical Price equals the high, low, and close divided by three</u>.<br /> <br /> The next part of the calculation takes in what is known as money flow.<br /> <br /> This takes the typical price and then multiplies it by volume. There’s no way to know in a non-centralised market exactly how much volume is being done, but by using the volume at your broker, you get a fair representation of what the larger market should be.<br /> <br /> The next equation:<br /> <strong>MF = TP x V</strong><br /> Or, <u>Money Flow equals Typical Price multiplied by Volume</u>.<br /> <br /> The next part of the calculation looks at positive and negative flows over the quantity of periods that the indicator is set towards, known as money ratio.<br /> <br /> The indicator defines positive money flow as being any candle where the Typical Price is higher than the previous candle.<br /> <br /> Conversely, negative money flow is when any candle has TP lower than the previous candle.<br /> <br /> To get the positive money flow for the indicator, the calculation is to add up the total positive money flows over the time span in question.<br /> <br /> Ultimately, to get the negative money flow for the indicator, the calculation is of course to add up the total negative money flows over the same time span.<br /> <br /> The equation is:<br /> <strong>MR = positive money flow / negative money flow.</strong><br /> Finally, everything is converted into an index using the following mathematical formula:<br /> <br /> <strong>MFI = 100 - 100 / (1 + MR)</strong><br /> In other words, <u>the Monetary Flow Index is a ratio of positive money flow into an asset compared to the total money flow</u>.<br /> <br /> The indicator of course shows this for you, and you don’t have to do the math behind it, as it is built into the <a data-di-id="di-id-8ed17442-be85d085" href="/metatrader-4/">MetaTrader 4 platform</a>. <br /> <br /> The default measurement is 14, meaning that if you are looking at a daily chart, the Money Flow Index is giving you a reading of the last 14 days. If it is on the hourly chart, it is reading the last 14 hours, and so on.</p> <h2>How to attach the Money Flow Index indicator</h2> <p>To use the Money Flow Index indicator on the MetaTrader 4 or 5 platform, go to the 'Insert' menu then go to the 'Indicators' submenu, followed by the 'Volumes' submenu, and selecting 'Money Flow Index'. <br /> <br /> The indicator will show up in its own window at the bottom of your platform.<br /> <br /> <img alt="" src="/TMXWebsite/media/TMXWebsite/money_flow_index_001.png" /><br /> <br /> At this point, you can start to look for opportunities using the Money Flow Index.<br /> <br /> Using the indicator The MFI indicator is used to indicate when a market is overbought or oversold. In the indicator, you will notice there are two levels marked by dashed lines of 20 and 80, with the absolute highs at the 100 level, and the absolute lows are 0.<br /> <br /> When the line is above 90, the market is possibly overbought. Conversely, the indicator moving below the 20 level suggests that the market is oversold.<br /> <br /> Let’s look at the chart below.<br /> <br /> The red arrow points out where the indicator has broken above the 80 level, suggesting an overbought condition. Shortly afterwards, the EUR/GBP pair dropped.<br /> <br /> After that, you can see there was a bounce where the blue arrow marks the Money Flow Index dropping below 20.<br /> <br /> While there is just a short term bounce, there is a bounce, nonetheless. This can often be filtered by something along the lines of a moving average, or even a trendline.<br /> <br /> <img alt="" src="/TMXWebsite/media/TMXWebsite/mfi_002.png" /><br /> <br /> <strong>To summarise:</strong></p> <ul> <li>The 80 level is where a market enters an “overbought” condition</li> <li>The 20 level is where a market enters an “oversold” condition</li> <li>The indicator is built into the MetaTrader 4/5 platforms, as well as many others</li> <li>The default reading will be for the last 14 candles, but can be changed</li> <li>The Money Flow Index is often used with other indicators as well</li> </ul> <p> </p> <h2>Adding an additional filter </h2> <p>Many traders choose to compliment the MFI indicator with a moving average.<br /> <br /> This is because the moving average can keep you on the right side of a trend.<br /> <br /> If you are looking for an indication of an overbought or oversold condition within the Money Flow Index indicator, this can be validated by a move above or below a moving average.<br /> <br /> Let’s look at the below four-hour chart in the Canadian dollar/Japanese yen currency pair.<br /> <br /> <img alt="" src="/TMXWebsite/media/TMXWebsite/mfi_003.png" /><br /> <br /> The blue arrow indicates where the Money Flow Index indicator reached the oversold condition. Shortly after that, the price crossed above the 20 exponential moving average, one that is commonly used.<br /> <br /> The way to think about this move is that the market had gotten oversold, and then by breaking above a common moving average, it shows that the momentum and trend is starting to change to the upside.<br /> <br /> At that point, most traders would enter a position.<br /> <br /> Later on, in the same chart, you can see that the Money Flow Index indicator had entered the overbought condition, and the price shortly thereafter fell below the 20 EMA.<br /> <br /> That tells you that the shift is starting to gain momentum, and the market starts to fall from there. Ultimately, this keeps you in the loop when it comes to a potential trend change, and then gives you confirmation in a one-two set up.<br /> <br /> In another example, we can apply the Bollinger Band indicator to the chart, looking for signs of oversold or overbought conditions from both indicators.<br /> <br /> <img alt="" src="/TMXWebsite/media/TMXWebsite/mfi_004.png" /><br /> <br /> Looking at the chart, you can see where the blue arrows start that the market has broken below the oversold level, followed very quickly by the market breaking below the bottom of the Bollinger Band indicator.<br /> <br /> This shows that the market is oversold as far as the Money Flow Index indicator is concerned, but more importantly it is also oversold with both indicators.<br /> <br /> By breaking the bottom of the Bollinger Band indicator, it now is two standard deviations below its average price.<br /> <br /> With both of these indicators you have the ability to see a slowdown in volume going into the market, and at the same time you can see that the market is statistically farther away from normalcy than it should be.<br /> <br /> This almost always sets up for a ‘reversion to the mean’, demonstrated by the moving average in the middle of the Bollinger Band indicator.<br /> <br /> However, some people will also aim for the top of the indicator: it boils down to your own personal trading style.<br /> <br /> </p>

How to Use the Stochastic Oscillator
<p>One of the most basic and perhaps oldest indicators used by technical analysts is the <strong>stochastic oscillator.</strong> The stochastic oscillator is an indicator that measures momentum and the strength of a trend. Essentially, its job is to analyse price movement and show how strong the price move is. </p> <p> </p> <p>The indicator measures the momentum of price, and also shows a slowing of momentum as the momentum of a financial instrument needs to slow down before changing direction. This addresses a weakness in retail trading, the fact that far too few traders pay attention to the importance of the rate of change. </p> <p> </p> <p>The stochastic oscillator is one of the more common indicators, and it’s one that you will see in a lot of analysis. However, like any other indicator it is simply a tool that you will be using to navigate through the forex markets, and like any other tool it is needed to be used in the proper settings and situations. </p> <h2>How to add the stochastic oscillator to MetaTrader charts</h2> <p>Adding the stochastic oscillator to the MetaTrader platform is very easy. By clicking on the <strong><em>Insert</em></strong> menu, you can pull down the list and click on <em><strong>Indicators</strong></em>, followed by <em><strong>Oscillators,</strong></em> and then <strong><em>Stochastic Oscillator</em></strong>. It's a common indicator, and as such it's built into the platform and there is no need to download from anywhere else.<br /> <br /> <img alt="" src="/TMXWebsite/media/TMXWebsite/Oscillator-picture-1.jpg" /><br /> <br /> The settings dialog box will pop up, and there are multiple parameters that you can change. The <strong>%K</strong> period and the <strong>%D</strong> period settings are available. The <strong>%K</strong> should be thought of as the slow value of the stochastic indicator and the <strong>%D</strong> should be thought of as the fast value of the stochastic indicator. It uses <em>a couple of moving averages</em> to measure the overall momentum.</p> <h2>Why does momentum matter?</h2> <p>Think back to your mathematics studies. One of the biggest influences in calculus is the absolute rate of change. The idea is that if the market is in an uptrend, but if the momentum starts to slow down, it can suggest that the market is running out of steam and, therefore, could be ripe for a reversal. In this sense, it can suggest whether or not the market is going to continue, or if it might be over-extended in one direction or the other, and other words <em>overbought</em> or <em>oversold</em>.</p> <h2>Using the indicator to make decisions</h2> <p>The stochastic oscillator has a multitude of uses when it comes to trading forex. We have already mentioned the most obvious use for the stochastic oscillator: the idea of identifying overbought or oversold conditions. In this scenario, the stochastic oscillator is best used in a range bound market, as it can tell you when to buy and sell in a relatively well defined situation.<br /> <br /> When you look at the stochastic oscillator window at the bottom of the chart, you see the two moving averages going back and forth in an up and down pattern. You will notice that there are two lines in the indicator window including the 80 and the 20 level.</p> <p> </p> <p>The <strong>area above the 80 level</strong> is considered to be <em>overbought</em>, while the <strong>area below the 20 level</strong> is considered to be <em>oversold</em>. Furthermore, you need to see the moving averages inside the stochastic oscillator to cross in the overbought or oversold areas in order to get a reversal signal. Anything between the two levels is essentially ignored in this scenario.</p> <p><img alt="" src="/TMXWebsite/media/TMXWebsite/Oscillator-picture-2.jpg" /><br /> <br /> </p> <p>Looking at the chart, you can see that the stochastic oscillator had several moves back and forth between the 80 and the 20 levels. However, there are only a couple of areas where the indicator either broke into the overbought area or the oversold area and had a cross. You need both of these things to happen in order for it to fire off a signal.</p> <p> </p> <p>In the graphic below, you can see that the signals fired off are color-coded by the arrows, with the red showing an overbought condition and a potential selling opportunity, and the blue showing potential buying opportunities in an oversold condition.</p> <p> </p> <p>It should be noted that using the stochastic oscillator in this way is much more reliable when in a sideways market, preferably between significant support and resistance. This makes the stochastic oscillator truly important, because statistically speaking markets are in some type of consolidation or sideways action more than 70% of the time. In other words, it’s much more common to be in this environment than it is to be out of it. </p> <h2>Measuring divergence</h2> <p>Another way that people use the stochastic oscillator in forex trading is to measure for divergence. The idea is that as with any oscillator, you could see momentum going in a different direction than the overall price. As an example, the momentum could be rising while price is falling or vice versa. If you are in a scenario where price is rising but the momentum is slowing, that means that there is less aggression to the upside and therefore less demand, even as prices press higher. This can be a sign that potential trouble is on its way. </p> <p> </p> <p>Take a look at the chart just below. You can see that there is a clear uptrend line on the four hour chart for the GBP/AUD pair. As the price was rising, though, notice that the stochastic oscillator made a <em>lower high</em>, which is the opposite of an uptrend. This suggests that the rate of change is slowing down, therefore one would have to be a bit suspicious about the efficacy of the move. </p> <p> </p> <p>After all, if there is less momentum, it suggests that there are fewer fresh orders coming in to push the market to the upside. Ultimately, you can see that shortly after the diversions with the <em>lower high</em> in the stochastic oscillator, the market broke down below the trend line and then eventually fell from those levels. Divergence can be found in several indicators, essentially the oscillator family. Because of this, using your divergence spotting skills can work in multiple other oscillators as well, as they all essentially work the same in this scenario.<br /> <br /> <img alt="" src="/TMXWebsite/media/TMXWebsite/Oscillator-pic-3.jpg" /></p>

The Bill Williams Alligator Indicator
<p dir="ltr">The <strong>Bill Williams Alligator Indicator</strong> is a trend-following indicator. As its creator stated, the entire idea of the markets is that they tend to trend between 15% and 30% of the time. Most of the market is grinding sideways in general. Most of the market is grinding sideways in general.<br /> <br /> The alligator indicator comes built into the <a data-di-id="di-id-3a56e082-fd267adf" href="/metatrader-4/">MetaTrader platform</a>, therefore attracts a lot of attention due to that alone. <br /> <br /> This indicator only works in trends, and it should be avoided when you are in a sideways market. It’s based upon the moving averages, so gives you an idea of when a market is trending, therefore it’s relatively easy to see whether or not you should be using the indicator. The indicator is relatively simple to use, so that of course makes it popular as well. </p> <h2>Adding the Alligator indicator to MetaTrader</h2> <p>It’s very easy to add the indicator to the MetaTrader platform, as it’s already built in. All one has to do is click on Insert, select <strong>Indicators</strong>, and then follow that with <strong>Bill Williams</strong>, finally select the <strong>Alligator</strong> option after that, which will set the indicator active. <br /> <br /> Then, you get the <strong>Alligator options</strong> box, which has several different things that you can change. The basic options include the <strong>Jaws</strong> period, <strong>Teeth</strong> period, and the<strong> Lips</strong> period. You can also choose the <strong>Shift </strong>variable along with these options.<br /> <br /> <img alt="" src="/TMXWebsite/media/TMXWebsite/alligator-image-1.jpg" /><br /> <br /> </p> <p>Once you click <strong>Okay</strong>, the indicator then appears on the main price chart. That being the case, you then see the lines appear. There are three moving averages, which are set at 5, 8, and 13.</p> <p> </p> <p>The indicators are known as the <em>jaw</em>, the <em>teeth</em>, and the <em>lips</em> of the alligator. Although Williams describes this as an alligator, it’s essentially just <em>three moving averages</em>. It’s because of this that it should be relatively simple for most traders to start to use it almost immediately.</p> <h2>What the Alligator indicator tells us</h2> <p>The Alligator Indicator uses the previously mentioned 5, 8, and 13 smoothed moving averages. These are all <a data-di-id="di-id-2479e05d-b9dbef8f" href="/trading-academy/forex/analysis/fibonacci-ratios">Fibonacci numbers</a>, so it makes sense that there will be a certain amount of mystique around the indicator as a lot of traders like the idea of using Fibonacci. </p> <p> </p> <p>The Jaw is the 13 smoothed moving average, which is smoothed by eight bars on previous values. The Teeth is the 8 smoothed moving average, which is smoothed by five bars on previous values. The Lips features the five bar smoothed moving average, which is smoothed even further by three bars on previous values. This will plot a <em>green</em> (5) moving average, a<em> red</em> (8) moving average, and a <em>blue</em> (13) moving average.<br /> <br /> <img alt="" src="/TMXWebsite/media/TMXWebsite/alligator-image-2.jpg" /><br /> <br /> </p> <p>The indicator looks for convergence/divergence in order to build signals. The <strong>Jaw (blue)</strong> makes slower turns than the others, while the <strong>Lips (green)</strong> will be the fastest moving average in the indicator. Because of this, the triple indicators are used very similar to a three moving average server system. For example, if the green indicator slices through the other two to the downside, it's a sell signal. On other hand, if the green indicator slices through the other two to the upside, that’s a bullish sign and a potential buy signal. </p> <p> </p> <p>Bill Williams suggested that when the downward cross occurred, it was when the alligator was sleeping, while an upward cross is the alligator awakening. It’s probably not that important as to whether or not he calls it one thing or the other, because this will follow a lot of the same rules that a triple moving average crossover system will. After all, that’s all this is but there are some tweaks to the calculations because they are smoothed. </p> <p> </p> <p>If the three moving averages are stretched apart, that is generally a sign that you are in a trend and should maintain whatever the position is. In the example below, you can see that the moving averages go from being twisted to spread out relatively far at the first red arrow, they compress, and then spread out even further at the second red arrow. </p> <p> </p> <p><strong>At both of those arrows</strong>, the Alligator indicator is letting you know that the market is extremely bearish, and you should be hanging on to short positions. In fact, you can even make an argument for the compression between the two red arrows as not quite enough to get you out of the original position.<br /> <br /> <img alt="" src="/TMXWebsite/media/TMXWebsite/alligator-image-3.jpg" /><br /> <br /> </p> <p>The indicator showing a couple of strong downtrend is the first thing he would notice, but the question then becomes whether or not you are extraordinarily cautious or if you are a little bit more aggressive. In other words, the Lips rising above the Teeth of the indicator, or the green moving average digging into the red moving average between the two arrows could be a sign to start taking profits if you are already short of the currency pair. At this point, it truly comes down to your personal preference, and traders will use both methodologies when it comes to <strong>using the Bill Williams Alligator indicator.</strong> <br /> <br /> According to the description Bill Williams himself uses, there are a couple of ways to describe what’s going on. When the moving averages are short and choppy, then quite often he will describe it as either the market sleeping, or the alligator “<em>being sated.</em>” When the three moving averages start to spread and move in the same direction, then the mouth is opening and the “<em>alligator is starting to eat.</em>” In the chart just below, you can see that there are blue, red, and orange boxes. <br /> <br /> In the blue boxes, the moving averages start to spread and rise, which is a very <a data-di-id="di-id-19ae81b6-bdc1b79b" href="https://www.thinkmarkets.com/en/learn-to-trade/indicators-and-patterns/general-patterns/what-is-bullish-and-bearish-divergence/">bullish sign</a>, while the orange boxes show choppy trading conditions with the moving averages, meaning that you are either flat of the market or trying to take profits from your position previously. The red rectangle is the mouth opening for the alligator to eat again, this time driving to the downside.</p> <p><br /> <img alt="" src="/TMXWebsite/media/TMXWebsite/alligator-image-4.jpg" /></p> <h2>Adding MACD to help the Alligator indicator</h2> <p>Looking at the Alligator indicator, one additional indicator that a lot of traders will use the MACD or <strong>Moving Average Convergence Divergence </strong>oscillator. This gives traders a “second look” at momentum in the market, right along with price. This setup will operate in the same way that the Moving Average</p> <p> </p> <p>Convergence Divergence oscillator typically does, meaning that there are a couple of signals that you should be aware of when it comes to using this in addition to the Alligator indicator. <br /> Looking at the chart below, there are several things that you need to be aware of. The MACD crossing above and below the zero line is important. In fact, marked on the chart are several errors to give you an idea as to how you may wish to trade the market by using the Alligator</p> <p> </p> <p>Indicator and the MACD in concert. Taking a look at the first blue arrow, you can see that the oscillator had crossed the zero line and the histogram in the oscillator started to rise right along with the moving averages of the Alligator Indicator. The next set of arrows are orange, because they show a slowing of momentum. At this point you have the option to either close the trade or perhaps move <a data-di-id="di-id-aaebb41a-956ef5d7" href="https://www.thinkmarkets.com/en/learn-to-trade/intermediate/stop-losses-and-take-profits/">stop losses</a> up a bit closer. Shortly thereafter, there are signs of life again as the Alligator indicator starts to open its jaws again, and the MACD histogram starts to rise. </p> <p> </p> <p>Closer to the top of the chart you see that there is an orange arrow, as the Alligator Indicator starts the clothes it’s jaw again. Furthermore, the histogram on the oscillator has started to drop, suggesting that perhaps momentum is starting to wane a bit. After that, the red arrow signifies the jaw opening yet again for the alligator to eat, while the MACD histogram is starting to drop much lower and well below the zero line. This suggests that there is quite a bit of downward pressure. <br /> <br /> While not marked by arrows on this chart, you can see that the very end of the chart is starting to see the alligator jaws try to close, while the histogram in the MACD is starting to rise, perhaps showing that momentum to the downside is starting to drift a bit lower.<br /> <br /> <img alt="" src="/TMXWebsite/media/TMXWebsite/alligator-image-5.jpg" /><br /> </p> <h2>Some additional thoughts about the Alligator indicator</h2> <p><strong>The Bill Williams Alligator Indicator</strong> is a great <em>trend following type of indicator</em>, but it must be noted that you should be aware of whether or not the market is trending or not. That’s the idea of adding the MACD indicator to the chart, as it can give you a little bit more clarity as to whether or not there is momentum. Having said that, it’s also important to keep in mind that this is simply a triple moving average system. </p> <p> </p> <p>That being said, one of the biggest concerns about anything involving a moving average is that it's a lagging indicator. In other words, it shows you where price and momentum was, not where it is. With that in mind, the indicator by itself won’t be sufficient enough to have a working system built around it. Granted, it can give you an idea when to get in and out of the market, but it also could cause a lot of choppy results if you are not cautious. </p> <p> </p> <p><strong>Some things to keep in mind include: </strong><br /> </p> <ul> <li>Bill Williams Alligator Indicator is a lagging indicator</li> <li>It's simply three moving averages</li> <li>The indicator isn’t a system in and of itself and needs help</li> <li>Price action should probably be paid attention to as well</li> <li>The indicator is built into the MetaTrader platform</li> </ul> <p><br /> All things being equal, this is a nice way to find longer-term moves, but it should also be noted that it's probably going to produce better results for you on higher time frames, although that is typically the case with indicators and technical analysis in general. Ultimately, the short-term charts will continue to struggle to use anything related to a moving average, as the price fluctuations on a short time frame can be quite rapid. <br /> <br /> Furthermore, it’s probably crucial that you experiment with the idea of whether or not the “alligator being sated” is a reason for you to take profits, or to simply stay out of the market in general. Some traders won’t take profits until the green moving average has crossed all the way through both of the other moving averages, so that is something else to think about as well. In order to figure out what works best for you, it’s important to test in a demo account so that you get familiar with the advent flow of using this indicator. </p> <p> </p> <p>Candlestick analysis can also be useful, just as it's with any other technical indicator. For example, a hammer or a shooting star may make for a better signal than just a simple spreading of moving averages by itself. A trade setup may be something along the lines of the alligator opening up its jaws again in the Alligator indicator, the MACD showing a zero line crossing with increasing momentum, and a hammer that suggests the buyers are coming back into the market. <br /> <br /> In other words, simply following the indicator can lead to a lot of choppy and inconsistent results if you don’t temper it with other help. That’s not necessarily that uncommon when it comes to technical analysis and indicators as most systems use at least a couple of them in order to form buy or sell signals. It’s also important to figure out a timeframe that works best for you, not to mention the fact that some markets will act slightly differently than others. That being said, this is a popular enough indicator that several other traders out there will be following it as well.</p>