Australian Broker Moves 26 October


A selection of ratings upgrades and downgrades, target price changes, and commentary for ASX stocks from major research houses for 26 October.



The big brokers have run the ruler over a number of key stocks over the last 24 hours.

They reacted positively to first half results from Bluescope Steel (BSL), with all of the brokers surveyed raising their price targets for the stock.

Contrasting this, they were less enthusiastic towards first quarter production results from Mincor (MIN), with brokers disappointed with the company's progress on both production and costs.
 
Australia and New Zealand Banking Group ANZ Zacks upgrades Australia and New Zealand Banking Group (ANZ) rating from hold to buy. Retains $21.00 price target.  
Austal ASB Goldman Sachs retains buy rating on Austal (ASB). Retains $4.35 price target. Anticipates AGM commentary to reflect strong earnings outlook. Reiterates buy.
BHP Group BHP Jefferies retains buy rating on BHP Group (BHP). Retains $45.00 price target. No change to rating or target after reviewing after September quarter production report, but lowers earnings estimates for FY21 by 1.5%.
Beach Energy BPT Citi raises Beach Energy (BPT) price target from $1.910 to $1.980. Retains buy rating. Reviews first quarter production update. Solid performance, but missed expectations slightly. Anticipates upside from upcoming drilling results.
Beach Energy BPT Credit Suisse lowers Beach Energy (BPT) price target from $1.960 to $1.950. Retains outperform rating. Notes first quarter production was in line with expectations. Pricing environment remains challenging, hence adjusts price target, but co. remains attractive pick in sector.
Bluescope Steel BSL Citi raises Bluescope Steel (BSL) price target from $14.00 to $16.00. Retains neutral rating. Reviews first half results. Notes, that whilst pricing in the US continues to improve, Australia likely to remain flat. 
Bluescope Steel BSL Credit Suisse raises Bluescope Steel (BSL) price target from $15.55 to $16.95. Retains outperform rating. Describes first half result as a strong one, and shows the quality of the business. Still upside as pricing improves, as most of this result was driven by volume gains.
Bluescope Steel BSL Macquarie raises Bluescope Steel (BSL) price target from $16.20 to $19.05. Retains outperform rating. Reacts positively to first half results. Notes, well above expectations. Expects continued support from fiscal stimulus measures.
Bluescope Steel BSL Morgan Stanley raises Bluescope Steel (BSL) price target from $11.00 to $16.00. Retains equalweight rating. Upgrades expected earnings by 72% in FY21 and 35% in FY22 on better than expected first half result, increased guidance.
Bluescope Steel BSL UBS raises Bluescope Steel (BSL) price target from $13.10 to $15.70. Retains neutral rating. Anticipates structural shifts towards detached housing will continue to support US earnings.
CSL CSL Zacks downgrades CSL (CSL) rating from buy to hold.   
CSR CSR Credit Suisse upgrades CSR (CSR) rating from neutral to outperform. Raises price target from $4.10 to $5.30. Expects fiscal stimulus measures to underpin earnings in the short-medium-term.
Event Hospitality and Entertainment EVT Citi lowers Event Hospitality and Entertainment (EVT) price target from $9.35 to $9.20. Retains neutral rating. Expects continued subdued performance/risks to earnings as recovery drags on around the world.
Iluka Resources ILU Citi upgrades Iluka Resources (ILU) rating from neutral to buy. Lowers price target from $10.50 to $6.20. Reviews demerger, adjusts target price to reflect the retained business. Sees upside from revaluation of retained business.
Iluka Resources ILU Credit Suisse downgrades Iluka Resources (ILU) rating from outperform to neutral. Lowers price target from $10.15 to $5.35. Notes retained business has a strong balance sheet. Price lowered to reflect demerger, rating lowered on risks to revaluation risks.
Mineral Resources MIN Macquarie lowers Mineral Resources (MIN) price target from $31.60 to $32.00. Retains outperform rating. Reacts negatively to first quarter production report. Not impressed with lower shipments, but pleased with higher production. Long term value remains intact.
Mineral Resources MIN Morgan Stanley raises Mineral Resources (MIN) price target from $23.40 to $23.50. Retains underweight rating. Notes weaker than expected iron ore performance in quarterly production report. Wonmunna acquisition will increase production, therefore ups target.
National Australia Bank NAB Credit Suisse retains outperform rating on National Australia Bank (NAB). Retains $21.30 price target. No change to rating or target after reviewing trading update and guidance. Lowers expected earnings for FY20 by 3%.
National Australia Bank NAB Macquarie retains underperform rating on National Australia Bank (NAB). Retains $17.50 price target. Considers valuation attractive, but remains concerned about earnings risks in short-medium-term.
National Australia Bank NAB Morgan Stanley retains equalweight rating on National Australia Bank (NAB). Retains $17.50 price target. Expects pandemic hit now well understood and quantified, but could get worse on Melbourne lockdowns.
National Australia Bank NAB UBS retains buy rating on National Australia Bank (NAB). Retains $20.50 price target. Anticipates co. is on top of the current situation and should continue to navigate sensibly through crisis.
Qantas Airways QAN Morgan Stanley retains overweight rating on Qantas Airways (QAN). Retains $4.90 price target. Predicts domestic capacity will improve to approx. 50% by Christmas, but is highly dependent on state border re-openings.
Resmed RMD Morgan Stanley raises Resmed (RMD) price target from $25.40 to $25.90. Retains equalweight rating. Anticipates co. will continue to deliver strong growth despite the pandemic.
Regis Resources RRL Macquarie lowers Regis Resources (RRL) price target from $5.20 to $4.50. Retains underperform rating. Blames worse than expected first quarter production report. Lowers expected earnings.
Regis Resources RRL UBS lowers Regis Resources (RRL) price target from $5.90 to $5.70. Retains buy rating. Cites lower than expected production and higher than expected costs reported in first quarter production.
Seven Group SVW Goldman Sachs downgrades Seven Group (SVW) rating from buy to neutral. Raises price target from $21.00 to $21.70. Blames recent share price strength for downgrade, is now closer to underlying valuation. Remains positive on fundamentals.
Worley WOR Macquarie lowers Worley (WOR) price target from $13.46 to $12.93. Retains outperform rating. Reviews first quarter trading update. Notes operational environment remains challenging, but cost cutting initiatives to support earnings until recovery improves.
Worley WOR UBS retains buy rating on Worley (WOR). Retains $12.32 price target. Notes negative impact of lower energy prices, but costs continue to improve.



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