Three Successful Strategies
By now, you have identified a time frame, the desired position size on a single trade, and the approximate number of trades you are looking to open over a certain period of time. Below, we share three popular Forex trading strategies that have proven to be successful.
Forex scalping is a popular trading strategy that is focused on smaller market movements. This strategy involves opening a large number of trades in a bid to bring small profits per each.
As a result, scalpers work to generate larger profits by generating a large number of smaller gains. This approach is completely opposite of holding a position for hours, days, or even weeks.
Scalping is very popular in Forex due to its liquidity and volatility. Investors are looking for markets where the price action is moving constantly to capitalize on fluctuations in small increments.
This type of trader tends to focus on profits that are around 5 pips per trade. However, they are hoping that a large number of trades is successful as profits are constant, stable and easy to achieve.
A clear downside to scalping is that you cannot afford to stay in the trade too long. Additionally, scalping requires a lot of time and attention, as you have to constantly analyze charts to find new trading opportunities.
Let’s now demonstrate how scalping works in practice. Below you see the EUR/USD 15-min chart. Our scalping trading strategy is based on the idea that we are looking to sell any attempt of the price action to move above the 200-period moving average (MA).
In about 3 hours, we generated four trading opportunities. Each time, the price action moved slightly above the 200-period moving average before rotating lower. A stop loss is located 5 pips above the moving average, while the price action never exceeded the MA by more than 3.5 pips.
Take profit is also 5 pips as we focus on achieving a large number of successful trades with smaller profits. Therefore, in total 20 pips were collected with a scalping trading strategy.
Day trading refers to the process of trading currencies in one trading day. Although applicable in all markets, day trading strategy is mostly used in Forex. This trading approach advises you to open and close all trades within a single day.
No position should stay open overnight to minimize the risk. Unlike scalpers, who are looking to stay in markets for a few minutes, day traders usually stay active over the day monitoring and managing opened trades. Day traders are mostly using 30-min and 1-hour time frames to generate trading ideas.
Many day traders tend to base their trading strategies on news. Scheduled events e.g. economic statistics, interest rates, GDPs, elections etc., tend to have a strong impact on the market.
In addition to the limit set on each position, day traders tend to set a daily risk limit. A common decision among traders is setting a 3% daily risk limit. This will protect your account and capital.
In the chart above, we see GBP/USD moving on an hourly chart. This trading strategy is based on finding the horizontal support and resistance lines on a chart. In this particular case, we are focused on resistance as the price is moving upward.
The price movement tags the horizontal resistance and immediately rotates lower. Our stop loss is located above the previous swing high to allow for a minor breach of the resistance line. Thus, a stop loss order is placed 25 pips above the entry point.
On the downside, we use the horizontal support to place a profit-taking order. Ultimately, the price action rotates lower to bring us around 65 pips in profits.
Position trading is a long-term strategy. Unlike scalping and day trading, this trading strategy is primarily focused on fundamental factors.
Minor market fluctuations are not considered in this strategy as they don’t affect the broader market picture.
Position traders are likely to monitor central bank monetary policies, political developments and other fundamental factors to identify cyclical trends. Successful position traders may open just a few trades over the entire year. However, profit targets in these trades are likely to be at least a couple of hundreds pips per each trade.
This trading strategy is reserved for more patient traders as their position may take weeks, months or even years to play out. You can observe the dollar index (DXY) reversing its trend direction on a weekly chart below.
A reversal is a result of the huge monetary stimulus provided by the US Federal Reserve and the Trump administration to help the troubled economy. As a result, the amount of active dollars increases, which decreases the value of the dollar. Position traders are likely to start selling the dollar on trillion-dollar stimulus packages.
Their target may depend on different factors: long-term technical indicators and the macroeconomic environment. Once they believe that the current bearish trend is nearing its end from a technical perspective, they will seek to exit the trade. In this example, we see the DXY rotating at the multi-year highs to trade more than 600 pips lower 4 months later (March - July).